The tragedy of Turkey's attempted coup
Story highlights
- An attempted military coup against the government of President Recep Tayyip Erdogan took place late Friday
- Jenny White: Friday's attempted coup 'took Turkey out of Europe and placed it squarely in the Middle East'
Jenny White is a professor of Turkish studies at the Stockholm University Institute for Turkish Studies and the author of 'Muslim Nationalism and the New Turks.' The views expressed are her own.
(CNN)Until
Friday afternoon, Turkey remained a competent and stable, if
problematic, country that served as a buffer between Europe and the
imploding Middle East and a partner for the United States. It suffered
from terrorist attacks like European countries, and shared a world where
solidarity could be demonstrated by Facebook posts and projecting the Turkish flags on national monuments.
That changed with Friday's coup attempt.
The
military action, the results of which are still unclear, took Turkey
out of Europe and placed it squarely in the Middle East. It tore away
the country's stability, replacing polarization with what could end up
being outright civil war, whether the coup succeeds or not.
All
this adds yet another conflict to those already blooming like unholy
flowers on Turkish ground: ISIS suicide attacks; renewed fighting with
the Kurdish separatist Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK); wholesale destruction of Kurdish towns by Turkey's security forces, which have been given immunity;
not to mention the ongoing low-level violence that infects Turkey's
society, especially targeting women. Turkey can no longer be a buffer
against violence; it has become a sacrifice on its own altar.
As
a result, the reality is that Turkey's usefulness as a "safe" haven for
Syrian refugees is now in doubt, destabilizing the already morally suspect EU pact that provides money to Turkey in return for keeping hundreds of thousands of refugees.
Meanwhile,
Turkey's descent into what is likely to be a government witch hunt for
"putschists" and massive violent reprisals means more anger, more
polarization and a destabilized population that is more likely to seek
protection from outside.
Groups
like ISIS will likely capitalize on this disenchantment to seek more
recruits inside Turkey. From there, they will be able to pass to Europe,
just as jihadis in past years had moved through Turkey on their way to
Syria as the Turkish government turned a blind eye.
As the saying goes, the enemy of my enemy is my friend, and ISIS and
other jihadis were fighting Kurdish militants, Turkey's biggest bugaboo
that blinded it to all other dangers.
The
United States and opposition parties within Turkey disapproved of
Friday's attempted coup. But if the ruling AKP (Justice and Development
Party), led by President Erdogan, neuters it, as it appears at the time
of writing to have done, we can expect President Recep Tayyip Erdogan to
use it as an excuse to ruthlessly crush what thin spine of opposition
remains, breaking the back of the military once and for all and
arresting -- or worse -- all manner of perceived and real "traitors."
The
coup plotters' manifesto reportedly stated that they stepped in
because, among other things, the president and government have created
an autocracy that made the legal system unworkable. This much is true --
that over the past five years, the ruling party has systematically
throttled the independence of state institutions, the media, education,
civil society, and recently two of the highest courts in the land. In short, the AKP has been dismantling Turkey's democratic walls brick by brick.
And
this is not the first time Turkey has been faced with a coup attempt.
The country has a history of coups in which the military brought down
governments they thought were too autocratic, too inept, or too
religious in an attempt to press the democratic reset button. Yet since
the AKP came to power in 2004, it has tried to muzzle the army through a
series of court cases that jailed hundreds of officers, including generals. In 2011, Turkey's top military commanders resigned, saying that their soldiers were demoralized and the commanders could no longer do their jobs.
The officers were later released,
and the military still remains one of the most trusted institutions in
the country. But it is not the same military, nor the same citizenry as
in the past. In former coups, the population was cowed into accepting,
or willingly went along with, martial law. Institutions, while corrupted
or closed down under martial law, remained intact, to be repopulated in
the next election.
This
time, thousands of Erdogan supporters heeded his call to take to the
streets. They threw themselves in front of tanks and cornered terrified
looking soldiers as minarets called for jihad. Yet ultimately, whether
the coup succeeds or not, this brings the prospect of civil war closer
-- and heightens the likelihood of a lost generation before Turkey can
rebuild the image of itself. It is a dramatic departure from just five
years ago, when the country had earned the respect and admiration of the
world.
Friday's tragedy is largely
self-inflicted by a government that has been willing to trade in a
functioning democracy for dictatorial power. Ironically, it seems likely
to use a failed coup to further that goal.
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