What is 2% of 500,000? That is likely to equal another 10,000 deaths.
If the death rate is still around 2% and not now 5% like it tends to be away from bigger cities with better hospitals then the death rate for 500,000 new cases mostly in the last week would be 10,000 more deaths.
However, if the death rate is still 5% because of hospitals not being as good or as available in more remote areas then that would be 25,000 deaths. I would say then that the death rate of Americans from those 500,000 cases in the last week or so likely would be somewhere between 10,000 and 25,000 deaths sometime in the next 3 weeks to a month's time from these 500,000 tested cases.
As long as you know this will be only 1/3 of the actual people dying of coronavirus here in the U.S. you are on the right track.
To the best of my ability I write about my experience of the Universe Past, Present and Future
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