Wednesday, January 29, 2020

If the coronavirus becomes a worldwide pandemic:

I think you might have to compare it to the Spanish Flu Virus in 1918 that killed more American Soldiers than were killed in World War I at the time.

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Featured snippet from the web

During a pandemic that lasted two years from its outbreak in the U.S., between 50 million and 100 million people across the globe died—around three percent of the world's population.Jan 26, 2018
So, if 3% of the population was 100 million people that might mean that the population of earth then was about 3 billion people? I'm thinking 2 to 3 billion people.

The population of earth now is 7.53 billion people if you divide that by the 3 billion people then you wind up with 2.51 which you would multiply the 100 million by which would result in 251 million people dying on earth in the present Coronavirus IF the variables occur like the Spanish Flu Virus in 1918.

So, in an actual outbreak (if the virus doesn't mutate much from where it presently is as a virus) there could be 251 million people dying worldwide in the next year or so from this virus if it compares to the 1918 Spanish Flu outbreak worldwide then.

However, one of the different variables now is there was no worldwide air travel then. So, this thing had to travel only by boat between continents then. Because there is air travel it is likely that air travel between North America and China (Asia in General) will be shut down soon completely. And I think that Europe is going to do the same thing until the Virus starts decreasing.

So, because of these new variables it is quite likely to create a 2nd Great Depression worldwide "UNLESS" a vaccine is created really quickly that works. But, if this coronavirus mutates enough into enough different variations it is possible that nothing will stop it worldwide too if one vaccine doesn't work effectively soon.

ON further researching it says that the population of earth in 1927 was 2 billion people. If this is true let's use 2 billion as a figure rather than 3 billion in 1918. Now we take 2 billion and divide it into 7.53. billion and we get
3.765 which is would then be multiplied by 100 million which takes us to 376,500,000 people who could potentially die of the Coronavirus given all variables being similar to the Spanish Flu in 1918.

But, the two biggest changes are air travel and much better scientific medical advances and better knowledge of what viruses are and what they do. So, when we plug in the medical scientific knowhow worldwide and air travel this might change everything significantly from the 1918 Spanish Flu Outbreak which killed 50 to 100 million people.

I'm thinking if 376 million people die worldwide it could affect every family on earth in the loss of one or more individuals from that family worldwide. Or it could devastate just Wuhan, China and China in General and other parts of Asia depending upon how all this is handled by nations on every level worldwide.

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