Tuesday, December 2, 2014

Because of under reporting of cases and deaths we likely are already at 20,000 cases of Ebola

Ebola Could Strike 20000, World Health Agency Says...


December 1, 2014 - Factsheet: Why Ebola is Not Likely to Become Airborne[PDF - 1 page]

I was rereading the top article by the World Health Agency which said "Ebola could strike 20,000---" in August 2014. However, we are de facto already there with no end in site because of consistent underreporting of cases and deaths. (Because unless a patient is treated by nurses and doctors 'and most aren't' there is no count". The most we hear is that "Possibly" it can be brought under control by next summer. But, to be realistic I'm not holding my breath at this point.

The problem really is that there are only so many volunteers willing to spend their hard earned money to take time out like doctors and nurses from around the world to go fight Ebola for free.

This is who mostly is fighting this disease in Africa. Because of this Ebola is likely endemic to the Earth already.

I wouldn't blame any one person or government for this because the real cause is too many problems in the world at once distracting everyone from eradicating this disease completely. Now, it is likely too late to get rid of it completely. So, like AIDS it might be partly controlled but not in one or more 3rd world countries that it is going to devastate one by one or two by two. Liberia is getting better because it appears the worst has passed for them. However, other countries are not faring as well.

However, I have one question for you:

"IF there are at least already 20,000 cases so far, to be realistic, how many cases will there be by next summer or this time next year?" If we are at 20,000 cases we already have 15 to 20 times the number of cases in August 2014. So, this is something to think about too.

Also, if 20,000 cases is a more realistic figure because of non-treatment being included then the 71% of fatalities according to recent figures winds up that approximately 14,200 people have already died of this as well.

And when most people are calling for ambulances (because they don't own cars and can't afford Taxis) then other family members are likely going to be infected too while caring for their relatives and friends.

So, it is in areas where there is non-treatment by nurses or doctors where the spread will tend to be the greatest and how this will likely spread from country to country in the future. So, from barrios and country places is where this likely would tend to spread the most from area to area and from country to country over the next months and now (potentially) years.

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