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WEEKEND MAGNETIC STORMS? NOAA
forecasters estimate a 60% to 65% chance of minor geomagnetic storms
this weekend when a pair of CMEs is expected to sideswipe Earth's
magnetic field. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras
after nightfall.
Aurora alerts: text,
voice
X-FLARE (UPDATED): Big sunspot AR2242 erupted on Saturday, Dec. 20th @ 00:27 UT, producing an intense
X1.8-class solar flare. NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory captured the explosion's extreme ultraviolet flash:
A pulse of X-rays and UV
radiation from the flare reached Earth minutes after the explosion. This
"solar EMP" ionized our planet's upper atmosphere and blacked out HF
radio communications over Australia and the South Pacific. Below 10 MHz,
transmissions were strongly attenuated for more than two hours.
The explosion also hurled a
CME into space. Click to view a movie of the cloud as recorded by the
Solar and Heliospheric Observatory:
Although the instigating
flare was Earth-directed, it appears that the CME is not. The bulk of
the cloud will sail far south of he sun-Earth line, missing our planet.
Solar flare alerts: text,
voice
RADS ON A PLANE, CONTINUED: Regular
readers may remember last month's reports by Dr. Tony Phillips of
radiation measurements inside commercial airplanes. During a
cross-country trip between Reno NV and Washington DC, he absorbed a dose
of ionizing radiation equal to about 3 dental x-rays.
However, not every trip is
so "radioactive." On Dec. 17th, he flew from Reno to San Francisco--a
short hop over the Sierras to attend the American Geophysical Union
meeting--and the dose was much less. These curves show his measurements
during the flight:
Compared to last month's travel, there
was relatively little radiation on this flight. From take-off to
landing, the total dose was only about 3% of a dental X-ray -- a
hundred times less than before.
Why so little? For one thing, the flight
was brief, less than an hour long. Moreover, it was low. The cruising
altitude of the small commuter jet was only 26,000 feet compared to as
much as 39,000 feet for last month's cross-country flights. When it
comes to "rads on a plane," altitude matters. The source of the
radiation is cosmic rays from space; the closer you are to space, the
more radiation you are going to absorb. Short, low flights like the Reno
to San Francisco hop are best for avoiding exposure.
The data come from a pair of radiation detectors routinely flown to the stratosphere onboard
Earth to Sky Calculus
Space Weather Buoys. The pager-sized devices are sensitive to ionizing
radiation such as X-rays and gamma-rays in the energy range 10 keV to
20 MeV. Ideally, the two detectors should register the same dose rates
throughout the flight. Slight differences between the two curves are an
indication of the uncertainty in the measurements.
It is important to note that the sensors Phillips carried onboard the plane do
not
detect one of the most important forms of radiation: neutrons. Neutrons
provide much of the biologically effective radiation dose at
altitudes of interest to aviation and space tourism. To account for
these uncharged particles, the doses discussed above should be doubled
or tripled. To improve our estimates of the total dose rate, the
students of Earth to Sky Calculus are
evaluating neutron detectors for future balloon missions and plane flights.
Every night, a network
of
NASA
all-sky cameras scans the skies above the United
States for meteoritic fireballs. Automated software
maintained by NASA's Meteoroid Environment Office
calculates their orbits, velocity, penetration depth
in Earth's atmosphere and many other characteristics.
Daily results are presented here on Spaceweather.com.
On Dec. 20, 2014, the network reported 20 fireballs.
(19 sporadics, 1 December Leonis Minorid)
In this diagram of the inner solar system, all of the fireball orbits intersect at a single point--Earth. The orbits are
color-coded by velocity, from slow (red) to fast (blue). [
Larger image] [
movies]
Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (
PHAs)
are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that
can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the
known PHAs is on a collision course with our planet,
although astronomers are finding
new
ones all the time.
On
December 21, 2014 there were 1524
potentially hazardous asteroids.
Recent
& Upcoming Earth-asteroid encounters:
| Asteroid |
Date(UT)
|
Miss
Distance
|
Size
|
| 2007 EJ |
Jan 12
|
68.9 LD
|
1.1 km
|
| 1991 VE |
Jan 17
|
40.6 LD
|
1.0 km
|
| 2004 BL86 |
Jan 26
|
3.1 LD
|
650 m
|
| 2008 CQ |
Jan 31
|
4.8 LD
|
36 m
|
| 2000 EE14 |
Feb 27
|
72.5 LD
|
1.6 km
|
Notes: LD means
"Lunar Distance." 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance
between Earth and the Moon. 1 LD also equals 0.00256
AU. MAG is the visual magnitude of the asteroid on
the date of closest approach.
|
The
official U.S. government space weather bureau |
|
The
first place to look for information about sundogs,
pillars, rainbows and related phenomena. |
|
Researchers
call it a "Hubble for the sun." SDO
is the most advanced solar observatory ever. |
|
3D
views of the sun from NASA's Solar and Terrestrial
Relations Observatory |
|
Realtime
and archival images of the Sun from SOHO. |
|
from
the NOAA Space Environment Center |
|
the
underlying science of space weather |
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