Probabilities:

Probabilities are hard to define in regard to anything really simply because there are so many variables but I thought I would try to give it a go.

Will Trump survive the next year? 50 50 It could go either way because of what he is doing now.

Will a stimulus bill be passed? 100% yes but only after Biden is inaugurated will it be passed for sure.

Will the human race survive the next 20 years? 50 50 It all likely now depends upon creating a 5th timeline to keep humans alive at this point.

How many people will die in 2021 from coronavirus?

This is still a great unknown on many different levels but if I was to guess with the figure we see on TV I would say that we likely will lose about 1 million total "that you see displayed daily on CNN news by this time next year. However, the actual numbers will be 8 times that in  American deaths from coronavirus so the actual number won't be 1 million dead it likely will be 8 million Americans dead from Coronavirus 1 year from now.

We are lucky that 1 million people mostly first responders like Ambulance drivers and nurses and doctors and paramedics have received their first Coronavirus vaccine but still need their 2nd dose in a month.

Why so many dead? Because Trump is not allowing funding for hiring people to give the vaccines to people so right now 20 million vaccines are sitting in refrigerators waiting for the funding for hiring the people to give the vaccines to people. The only real exceptions to this are really rich states like California and New York state.

Trump's scorched earth policy will surely come back to haunt him in multiple ways so even if he survives until this time next year he likely will be diminished in many ways from serious court fights (if he decides to stay here in the U.S.) instead of running off to a foreign country that doesn't have extradition treaties with the U.S. 

So, in regard to Trump, he has made so many millions of enemies in the U.S. and around the world it will be unlikely he even survives the next year because of this.