Showing posts with label ". Show all posts
Showing posts with label ". Show all posts

Monday, July 27, 2020

Yang: "We're seeing 10 years' worth of change in 10 weeks,"

"We're seeing 10 years' worth of change in 10 weeks," the former Democratic presidential candidate said.
Companies, worried about coronavirus health risks, are accelerating their plans to use robots for some jobs long done by humans. It's just one of the ways coronavirus is changing the face of America's workforce and the debate over how to respond, including controversial proposals Yang has long championed.
end partial quote from:
https://www.cnn.com/2020/07/27/economy/andrew-yang-economy-universal-basic-income/index.html
Imagine you are a business owner of say Tyson Foods selling chicken and your processing plants are all being shut down because your employees are all getting coronavirus and sometimes dying from it. What do you do?
You can buy robots relatively inexpensively that will do the same things 24 hours a day and won't ever get coronavirus and won't ever need to be paid or go to the doctor and can't have a baby or need to have health insurance and they will work non-stop 24 hours a day for 2 to 3 years before they wear out.

What are you "the owner" of a Tyson Foods processing plant going to do to stay in business?
You are going to buy robots and replace ALL the line workers on your production line because you won't need them ever again now.

So, the Tesla motorcar model of no workers and only engineers to maintain and design new robots is what you are left with.

This is the 10 years in 10 weeks change happening now all across America so companies can find a way to survive these times in desperation. So, robotics manufacturers are going to be making a mint. And the workers that don't die of coronavirus are going to be out of luck returning to their old jobs during these times.
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Friday, March 20, 2020

California Governor: "We project that roughly 56% of our state's population -- 25.5 million people -- will be infected with the virus over an eight-week period,"

"We project that roughly 56% of our state's population -- 25.5 million people -- will be infected with the virus over an eight-week period," he said in a Wednesday letter to Trump asking him to send the USNS Mercy Hospital Ship to the port of Los Angeles for use through September 1.

 When I went and checked online it said that 39,937,489 is the 2020 population of California. 

 However, let's just go with 25.5 million people like he said is 56% of the population. So, I'm not sure what total he is going with.

 So, 25.5 million infected in 8 weeks means 80% of that or 20,400,000 should not get sick at all but just be carriers.

 Then 20% of 25.5 million would get sick. So, then 5,100,000 people or 20% of that number would get sick.

 Of that 2% or more of those people would then die. Now this is where it gets really really weird because this would mean that
510,000 Californians are going to be dead in about 8 to 10 weeks. This is unthinkable and crazy for any state.

 The worst hit state right now is New York
is about 20 million or 1/2 the population of California. If we took 56% of this it would be
11,200,000 would get coronavirus on their own timetable (which could be different than California's)
80% of these would not get sick and just be carriers which would be 8,960,000 people just carriers.
then 20% would get sick which is 2,240,000.

 Then 2% or more would die which would be 224,000 or about 1/2 of the deaths of California because it is about 1/2 the population of California in New York.

 Let's do the same with Washington State. The population of Washington state is 

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7.80 million. So, 56% of the state of Washington is 4,368,000. Then 80% of that is 3,494,400 people who would be carriers but not get sick.
20% would get sick which would be 873,600 people.
Then the 2% of the people who would die theoretically would be 87,360 just for Washington state.

But, the timing of all this is going to be different for each state this is clear because their peaks will be at different times depending upon many different variables.

However, if all this is in the ball park at some point 87,360 approximately will die of coronavirus in Washington state
                  224,000 would die in New York state                          And in California
                   510,000 would die.

which might mean that
                    

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(87 360 + 224 000) + 510 000 =
  people might die of coronavirus in just
California, Washington and New York.
If you realize this is around how many people died in World War II that were civilians and soldiers that were Americans just imagine if this ratio extends to all the states!    Because these are only 3 states out of 50!

So, when people talk like Angela Merkel President of Germany that she hasn't seen a problem as bad as this since world war II it might be important to listen! 

Because death wise the way this is moving it could be 10 times worse than the numbers America lost in World War II. 
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Thursday, August 29, 2019

Category 4, with winds of 130 mph, the damage could be catastrophic: "Well-built framed homes can sustain severe damage with loss of most of the roof structure and/or some exterior walls,"

continued: "Most trees will be snapped or uprooted and power poles downed."

A hit from a Category 4 hurricane means that "power outages will last for weeks to possibly months, and long-term water shortages will increase human suffering. Most of the area will be uninhabitable for weeks or months."

end partial quote including title from below quote:

end quote: This could be very serious if you are hit with 130 mile per hour winds because you would need maybe a fallout shelter or some place like a basement to survive this sort of 130 mil per hour wind that is constant with gusts above that wherever it hits. It makes me realize why they said that this storm likely could be worse than anything they have been hit with for decades. I have been in over 100 mph gusts and I couldn't stay standing up and it kept blowing me down while climbing a mountain in California in Winter when I was 21. Then ice was blowing and started to tear the flesh from my face so I took plastic I had for sliding down from the peak and covered  over my face. Then the sound was deafening of the ice hitting the plastic at over 100 mph AND I also kept falling down and injuring myself on rocks along my path because of the uneven gusts of wind over 100 mph. I finally gave up and slid down from 11,000 feet altitude in the snow down to about 9000 feet or 10,000 feet where it wasn't doing that and then I had totally different problems trying to stay alive.

So, unless people find and go to a shelter or have one that is made of cement underground then likely they are possibly going to die if this thing hits at a Category 4 when it comes onto the land. But, after the winds hit there might also be storm surge which tends to kill many more people than high winds historically. Because people can see that high winds are going to kill them. This is pretty obvious. But, when storm surge comes at night there is no warning and then you just drown.

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Slide 1 of 45: This GOES-16 satellite image taken Thursday, Aug. 29, 2019, at 14:20 UTC and provided by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), shows Hurricane Dorian, right, moving over open waters of the Atlantic Ocean. The U.S. National Hurricane Center said Dorian was expected to grow into a potentially devastating Category 3 hurricane before hitting the U.S. mainland late Sunday or early Monday somewhere between the Florida Keys and southern Georgia.
Full screen
1/45 SLIDES © NOAA via AP Photo
Dorian strengthened from a tropical storm to a hurricane as it headed from Puerto Rico to the United States mainland.
(Pictured) This GOES-16 satellite image taken on Aug. 29, and provided by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), shows Hurricane Dorian, right, moving over open waters of the Atlantic Ocean.
Slideshow by photo services
After walloping the Caribbean as a tropical storm, Hurricane Dorian is forecast to hit somewhere along the east coast of Florida this weekend.
And forecasters warn that Dorian could be a treacherous storm.
Along much of Florida’s east coast, as the storm approached, shoppers rushed to stock up on food and emergency supplies at supermarkets and hardware stores and picked the shelves clean of bottled water. Lines formed at service stations as motorists topped off their tanks and filled gasoline cans.
Keep up with Hurricane Dorian: Get USA TODAY's Daily Briefing in your inbox
Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis declared a state of emergency for 26 counties in Dorian's possible path and said he spoke with President Donald Trump on Wednesday evening about storm preparations.
Here are five things that make Dorian a dangerous hurricane:

It's forecast to strengthen to a Category 4 hurricane 

The latest forecast from the National Hurricane Center said Dorian is expected to reach Category 4 strength as it approaches Florida over the weekend: "With lower shear and very warm waters, all of the intensity models forecast Dorian to begin strengthening again soon, and rapid intensification could occur ... Dorian is likely to reach major hurricane strength in the next day or two and is forecast to maintain that status until it reaches land."
If it hits as a Category 4, with winds of 130 mph, the damage could be catastrophic: "Well-built framed homes can sustain severe damage with loss of most of the roof structure and/or some exterior walls," the hurricane center said. "Most trees will be snapped or uprooted and power poles downed."
A hit from a Category 4 hurricane means that "power outages will last for weeks to possibly months, and long-term water shortages will increase human suffering. Most of the area will be uninhabitable for weeks or months."
water next to the ocean: This satellite image obtained from NOAA/RAMMB, shows Hurricane Dorian (R) as it passes Puerto Rico at 11:30 central time on August 29, 2019. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami said the hurricane watch and tropical storm warning for the island had been lifted, and that "Dorian continues to move away from Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands."© Jose Romero, AFP/Getty Images This satellite image obtained from NOAA/RAMMB, shows Hurricane Dorian (R) as it passes Puerto Rico at 11:30 central time on August 29, 2019. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami said the hurricane watch and tropical storm warning for the island had been lifted, and that "Dorian continues to move away from Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands."

It could hit anywhere along the east coast of Florida – or even Georgia or the Carolinas

Although the current forecast shows landfall along the east coast of Florida, there is a chance the storm could curve up the coast before hitting land, perhaps even tracking into Georgia or the Carolinas.
The hurricane center said that the track guidance becomes less clear beyond 72 hours, primarily because of model differences in the strength of a ridge of high pressure over the Atlantic that will determine Dorian's path.
"The spread of the ... models and the various guidance is still considerable at days 4 and 5, and it is too soon to specify where along the Florida east coast the greatest impacts could occur," the hurricane center said.
AccuWeather senior meteorologist Adam Douty said that "a very small fluctuation in the overall weather pattern will have a large influence in where Dorian ultimately tracks and how it impacts the continental U.S."

There's a risk of life-threatening storm surge

Storm surge – the surge of sea water that comes ashore as a hurricane makes landfall – is often the deadliest and most destructive part of a storm. In fact, only 8% of hurricane-related deaths are caused by strong winds. Almost half are because of storm surge, the Weather Channel said.
The hurricane center warns that "there is an increasing likelihood of life-threatening storm surge along portions of the Florida east coast late this weekend or early next week, although it is too soon to determine where the highest storm surge will occur. Residents should have their hurricane plan in place, know if they are in a hurricane evacuation zone, and listen to advice given by local emergency officials."

It could make a second landfall

Though it's forecast to hit somewhere along the east coast of Florida, there "is certainly a chance that the storm could drift into the Gulf of Mexico and produce a second landfall," noted University of Georgia meteorologist Marshall Shepherd in Forbes.
"For now, the entire Florida and Southeast coastal community should be on alert. Even if you live in the eastern Gulf Coast states, I wouldn't completely take my eyes off of the storm yet," Shepherd said.

South Florida is already sodden from an extremely wet August

It's been a soggy month and summer in south Florida, so any rain that falls from Dorian will hasten and exacerbate flooding. How wet? Both Miami and West Palm Beach have seen over a foot of rainfall this month, which is about twice as much as average, the National Weather Service said. 
And regardless of the exact track of Dorian, heavy rains are expected to occur over portions of the Bahamas, Florida and elsewhere in the southeastern United States this weekend and into the middle of next week. The hurricane center warns that as much as a foot of rain could fall from Dorian across the southeastern U.S. 
"Dorian's slower movement as it nears the coast could cause major flooding," the Weather Channel said.
Contributing: The Associated Press
This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Hurricane Dorian: Why dangerous storm forecast to become Category 4
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