Wednesday, August 1, 2012

Syria: After Assad

The likelihood of Syria having a stable government after Assad and the minority government falls is becoming more and more unlikely. Also, Russia's and Iran's interference in Syria also makes this unlikely. Another factor is Al Qaida and other Islamist groups moving into Syria from Iraq, Afghanistan, Pakistan, Somalia and other places Islamist Jihadist groups have been staying. So, the end result likely will look a lot worse than what we see in Libya today with rebel groups jockeying for power. Libya is very stable compared to what Syria likely will look like after Assad.

The countries that are worrying about this outcome the most border Syria like Turkey, Lebanon, Iraq and Iran because it could destabilize their countries in the coming years. Syria could be a slow fuse that could blow up the entire middle east into something truly nightmarish. Israel likely will be forced to enter Syria in order to protect itself from Terrorists getting a hold of chemical weapons and using them in missiles sent into Israel.

No comments: