Monday, March 25, 2013

Overpopulation: The bane of the Middle East and Africa

Every ecology has an upper limit of what it can sustain. And the increasing deserts of the middle east help create a lower upper limit than in other greener wetter regions.  As birth rates increased in the Middle East it became logical that the "Arab Spring" would begin to happen when most young people under 30 could not get jobs or marry. And this problem was made worse when there were no social welfare services in most of these states as well. So, when a revolution occurs in a place without enough oil to pay for the needs of the people. Or, when the needs of the people still aren't met even with oil, chaos is the result because the upper limit of regional ecology has been exceeded. There is an ideal limit and then there is an actual limit that is created by how well things are organized and utilized. When revolutions occur ecology tends to get decimated by the fighting and ordnance and the waters and ground get polluted by everything, institutions break down and recovery of governmental systems becomes less possible at least in the short run.

China solved this problem by instituting and enforcing families to have only one child. Even though most of us in the western world consider this to be horrific, still it limited populations by limiting female children which greatly reduced births. Though it created a serious imbalance of the ratio of men to women now, it also allowed then 300 million Chinese to have a lifestyle similar to Europe and the U.S. which would have been unheard of before. Even though enforcing a one child per family rule upon the whole middle east likely would be impossible, it might be the only thing that would bring the middle east out of the chaos it presently experiencing.

It is my thought that unemployment even in the U.S. cannot presently average below about 7 % because of overpopulation here as well, relative to energy prices which drive the cost of growing and shipping food. So, unless people buy food grown locally even here in the U.S. many will not be eating even here because it will be too expensive to buy it as energy costs increase.

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