Results: We model the short-term growth rate of the disease in the
affected West African countries and estimate the basic reproductive
number to be in the range 1.5 − 2.0 (interval at the 1/10 relative
likelihood). We simulated the international spreading of the outbreak
and provide the estimate for the probability of Ebola virus disease case
importation in countries across the world. Results indicate that the
short-term (3 and 6 weeks) probability of international spread outside
the African region is small, but not negligible. The extension of the
outbreak is more likely occurring in African countries, increasing the
risk of international dissemination on a longer time scale.
end quote from:
worked on a model to estimate the growth of the disease,
So, the longer the Ebola Virus has hosts the more likely it will mutate and be airborne eventually. It is said some strains are already carried by coughing to others already through the air.
To the best of my ability I write about my experience of the Universe Past, Present and Future
Top 10 Posts This Month
- Dolly Parton on English version of Wikipedia
- The natural Progression of AI killing more and more people (from my personal point of view)
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- This article is about the French Language but written mostly in English (The French call their language (Francais)
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- Protesters form human chain at Kennedy Center amid Trump's threats to demolish it
- When Thubten Told me stories like this about Drukpa Kunley he had me laughing on the floor
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