A 50,000 a day new caseload would tend to create a 2500 a day death rate within 2 to 4 weeks

Why? Because we are presently seeing about a 5% death rate here in the U.S. I had thought it was about 2 to 3% but apparently it has now climbed to a 5% death rate nationwide partly because of overwhelmed hospitals various places. Not every area has enough hospital beds or ICU or intubator accommodations and more and more people are getting sick way out in the country without any of these things available at present. So, this is kicking up the death rates to around 5% of the cases. So, we might see around 2500 deaths a day within the next month or so nationwide.

I think it's also realistic to assume that in blue states we will see more people starve and be out of work and in red states we will see more coronavirus deaths but maybe less people starving on those states.

However, this will change over time depending upon how each state and locality responds to all this ongoing.