Saturday, July 4, 2020

At a 5% death rate presently here in U.S. 50,000 cases a day will likely mean 2500 deaths a day within a month

I don't remember coronavirus deaths in the U.S. much above 2000 a day even when New York State was at it's worst. And the problem is it is often way out in the country where people are dying very remotely. Then if you take the 8000 to 15000 ratio of tested deaths to non-tested deaths and add them together you get a larger number of actual coronavirus deaths.

So, if and when we reach 2500 deaths a day from the present 50,000 cases a day, the actual number is 4687.5 plus 2500 equals 7187 plus deaths per day tested and non-tested when 2500 tested deaths are reported.

So, a month from now the actual amount of tested and non-tested deaths likely will be 7187 approximately for several days or more around this number per day here in the U.S.

A 5% death rate is what we are presently seeing because out in the country there aren't the care facilities to keep people alive like in bigger cities. And now, the rate might get even worse because two Texas counties are beyond capacity. They have no more room to treat people so people will just either die or sent by ambulance or air ambulance to another city or county that has room now.

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