Thursday, December 23, 2021

The peak could be 2.8 million cases of Omicron per day around January 27th 2022

 Daily COVID-19 cases could also bottom out in March, the report said, even as Omicron remained prevalent. Another model from the University of Washington's Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) projects that coronavirus infections may peak at more than 2.8 million cases a day around January 27, then drop to fewer than 700,000 daily infections by April.

end partial quote from:

https://www.businessinsider.com/omicron-cases-peak-january-end-march-models-2021-12

Yes. this fits some of my calculations from the data they gave us so far. 2.5 million or more cases per day for awhile holds when I mathematically checked what they were saying myself. I took the 140 million total cases and divided by 8 which gave me the number of cases per week and then divided by 7 for the number of days in the week.

which comes to :two million five hundred thousand cases per day at some point during the peak of Omicron.

But, I'm thinking that some days could be a higher number of infections than this too.

And also you would have to multiply this number by 10 like the CDC says in order to include all those who won't be tested who get infected.

So, this would mean in reality you could literally have 25 million people getting infected for awhile to per day here in the U.S.

No comments: