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One study, published last week in the journal Nature, found that if large-scale shutdown policies -- such as ordering people to stay home and closing schools -- were not implemented after the coronavirus pandemic made its way to the United States, there would be roughly 60 million more coronavirus infections across the nation.
end partial quote.
I calculated what 2% of 60 million infections would be in deaths and came up with
1,200,000 deaths right now if we had 60 million infections right now here in U.S.
So, if we hadn't shut down when we did our deaths would likely be 10 times what they
are now.
However, given all present variables, if this hits like the 1918 one did in September
and after here in 2020 it is likely that we will actually have at least 1,200,000 deaths
here in the U.S. by this time next year from coronavirus (unless a vaccine shows up).
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