Elon Musk Says This Is The Chart About Arctic Sea Ice That Really Matters
By Kevin Loria
9 hours ago
NASA
In
2012, Arctic sea ice covered the smallest area ever recorded. The
yellow line shows the average sea ice minimum in the Arctic from 1979
through 2010.
There is more sea ice in the Arctic this summer than there was two years ago in 2012, a fact that has led to misleading stories that imply that there's more uncertainty about what's happening in the Arctic than there actually is.But comparing right now to two years ago and drawing conclusions about climate from those isolated data points is like saying "it's cold outside, guess we don't have to worry about global warming." It's an absurd comparison that doesn't take into account all the available information.
Although Arctic sea ice waxes
and wanes with the seasons, it covers the smallest area in late
September of every year — which is why, since we've been able to measure
the extent of the ice with satellites, we look at the area covered each
year and talk about what that means.
So does the fact that there is
more Arctic sea ice now than there was in 2012 mean that global warming
has stopped or that it's really not as bad as some people claim it is?
No, it doesn't — and this graph
by the National Snow and Ice Data Center that Elon Musk tweeted out
yesterday very clearly shows why:
The graph that really matters http://t.co/FF2AQ0hg15 pic.twitter.com/0Xk2arTzvW
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) September 1, 2014
This chart shows the extent of
Arctic sea ice at its minimum from 1979 to 2013, compared to the average
amount of minimum sea ice. As Phil Plait points out over at Slate,
there are several times where the level of sea ice jumps up from the
year before, but the overall trend is still down. The trend is what
really matters, he says.
In 2013, there was more sea ice
than there was in 2012 — 1.97 million square miles as opposed to 1.32
million — but that's still substantially less than the average minimum
extent of more than 2.4 million square miles. On August 17, 2014, sea ice was measured at 2.36 million square miles, which while that's higher than 2012 it's already below the average approximately a month before it usually hits its minimum level.
Yes, there's more ice now than there was in 2012, the year that the amount of sea ice hit the smallest extent ever recorded, according to NASA. That year, ice levels were also influenced by other external factors, including the melting of an ice dam that led to a sudden influx of warm water into the Arctic.
As NASA's sea ice scientist Walt Meier explains,
"while this year is not heading toward a record low minimum extent in
the Arctic, sea ice is well below normal and continues an overall
pattern."
It's the pattern that matters.More From Business Insider
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- end quote from:Business Insider
Elon Musk Says This Is The Chart About Arctic Sea Ice That Really Matters
There is more sea ice in the Arctic this summer...
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