Saturday, October 11, 2014

Pandemic

I think that seeing Ebola as a Pandemic (at least in Africa at this point) is realistic to do. It might become a pandemic elsewhere in the world wherever there aren't enough educated people and hospitals and resources too. This might be a given at this point as well.

Seeing it as a pandemic prepares better world health care facilities to better prepare for the likely inevitable results worldwide. Seeing that very likely 25,000 to 500,000 people might be dead in Africa by December is actually pretty realistic at this point.

I think there might be only a 50 50 chance of stopping Ebola by December, though there might be a 75% chance of stopping the virus by June. The longer time period you have the better at preventing Ebola countries can get. However, I worry that not cutting off nonessential flights might be harmful to the world in the long run (at least into and out of Africa) from all over the world.

As we have already seen in places like the U.S. and Spain even one or two cases of Ebola coming into the country can have unpredictable results even if they are natives of the home country like in Spain.

Even trained health care professionals might get tripped up by Ebola (for example, the Taxi in Africa likely from cleaning the back seat where an Ebola sufferer sweated infected an NBC Cameraman there when he was filming the driver and the taxi there in Africa. And the cameraman was accompanied by a Doctor from the U.S. in that NBC crew. So, even people prepared for this like doctors are getting this virus in unknown ways who go to Africa.

If trained health care professionals are getting this virus you can see there are still unknowns that aren't being covered here.

Also, one reason given for the outbreak in Africa is that just so many professional health care workers like doctors and nurses have died now from Ebola that there is a shortage of health care workers in Africa now.

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