Tuesday, July 14, 2015

Trump could be fatal for Republicans in 2016

 

Donald Trump leads second poll in a week

Sydney Morning Herald - ‎1 hour ago‎
Donald Trump 'wrong' on immigrants: Murdoch · Trump 2016 could be fatal for Republicans. Donald Trump leads the Republican field in a USA Today/Suffolk University nationwide poll released on Tuesday.
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Donald Trump leads second poll in a week

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Feeling lucky: Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump in Las Vegas. Feeling lucky: Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump in Las Vegas. Photo: AP
Donald Trump leads the Republican presidential field in a USA Today/Suffolk University nationwide poll released on Tuesday.
Mr Trump garnered 17 per cent, closely followed by Jeb Bush at 14 per cent, putting Mr Trump's lead within the margin of error. Scott Walker placed third with 8 per cent, while Marco Rubio, Ben Carson and Rand Paul all placed in the low single digits.
However, in a hypothetical match-up against Democrat front runner Hillary Clinton, Mr Trump is at the bottom of the heap.
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Out of the seven Republican candidates listed, he fared worst against the leading Democrat, trailing by 17 percentage points. Mr Bush fared best against Ms Clinton, trailing by 4 points.
Mr Rubio, Mike Huckabee and Mr Walker have more ground to make up against Ms Clinton, though all less than 10 points.
The poll surveyed 1000 adults from Thursday to Sunday. There was a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.
A sample of 349 likely Republican voters in early primary states had a larger margin of error, placed at plus or minus 5.25 percentage points by the newspaper.
Mr Trump maintains a sizeable advantage in name identification, built over decades as a real estate mogul, author and television personality.
Only 2 per cent of those surveyed had never heard of him, while 27 per cent had never heard of Mr Walker, who had not declared his candidacy at the time of the poll. Sixteen per cent had never heard of Mr Rubio.
Mr Trump also led in an Economist/YouGov poll released last Thursday.
However, Mr Bush continues to lead in most national polls, the RealClearPolitics average shows.
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