Friday, May 1, 2020

The institute said that the increase is due to “many states experiencing flatter and thus longer epidemic peaks.”

 I"m thinking this might be the study people were talking about with 100,000 deaths by summer which would be June 20 because that's the day summer begins. Since we are losing approximately
2000 people tested daily that actually means we should estimate 6000 daily including those not tested
before they die.

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The new IHME estimate now ranges from 56,563 to 130,666 deaths in the U.S.
The institute said that the increase is due to “many states experiencing flatter and thus longer epidemic peaks.” It also said that coronavirus deaths across the country are not falling “very quickly” after their estimated peak.
IHME Director Christopher Murray told CNN last week that his team was surprised when Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp (R) announced he would ease some coronavirus restrictions.
"If people start to go back to normal social interaction or even progressively go back, the risk of transmission will go up ... and then you go back to the sort of exponential rise that was happening before we put in social distancing," Murray said. "The risk is very great for resurgence from these early openings."
Georgia allowed some businesses — including gyms and fitness centers, bowling alleys, body art studios, cosmetologists and more — to open Friday and continuing into Monday.
There have already been more than 50,000 deaths in the U.S. related to coronavirus as of Tuesday morning, according to estimates from The New York Times. Over 987,000 total cases have been reported in the U.S.
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