Monday, May 4, 2020

Why do I think Sweden might have gotten it right?

It's difficult to know for sure now but this is why I think their method at least for their culture might have been the right one.

Though they have around 24 deaths per 100,000 people which is higher than Norway or Denmark which I think are around 4 per 100,000 people still because they shut down early like California also did which is now between 5 and 6 per 100,000 people. And then you have states like New York which because people live so close together like in New York City and travel on elevators, buses, taxis and subways you have 124 deaths per 100,000 people. In other words wherever you are on earth big cities and public transportation and multiple generations living together in a pandemic like in Italy is often death at least of the older members of the family worldwide.

But, here's the thing.

This isn't just a 2 month thing where we can shut down everything and that's it.

Unfortunately, this is a 2 to 5 year thing worldwide. Sweden's epidemiologist realized this from the beginning and tailor made this way of ONLY shutting down the Universities of Sweden and nothing else really was the best way through this. And the leadership at a national and local level agreed with him once they all conferred about it. So, as a result they have 24 deaths per 100,000 people but like the epidemiologist of Sweden said on Fahreed Zacharia's GPS on CNN on Sunday they were planning for this as a government from the very beginning because they knew shutting down their borders wasn't going to work long term and shutting down all their businesses wasn't going to work long term.

Most of their deaths in this have been in nursing homes which is upsetting to the people there. However, by everyone being very self disciplined in this culture they were able so far to keep the deaths down to 24 per 100,000 people. And as the virus moves through the population as it has it has given some kind of immunity to most people who haven't died from it so far.

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