Wednesday, July 8, 2020

We will likely reach 100,000 new cases a day within a week or two

The main problem with this as I see it is that around 5% or more of these cases are going to die and thousands of these cases will result in hospitalizations and serious short or long term consequences for the people involved (like not being able to work anymore).

If 5% of 60,000 people die eventually that's 3000 people for every 60,000 people who get it on any given day that reaches 60,000 people infected.

By the way 5% of 100,000 people getting it per day would be 5000 people per day dying of it eventually per day on average.

But, when you have no ICU beds available in 56 hospitals in Florida the death toll will be much higher in those kinds of places.

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