The University of Washington estimates the true number of daily infections (in India) is around 8 million: equal to New York City being infected every day

 The true scale of the COVID-19 outbreak in India is impossible to accurately quantify. Officially, confirmed daily cases are plateauing just under 400,000 but remain higher than any other country has seen during the pandemic. Experts warn that the real numbers are far bigger, and may still be rising fast as the virus rips through rural India, where two-thirds of the population lives and where testing infrastructure is frail. The University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) estimates the true number of new daily infections is around 8 million—the equivalent of the entire population of New York City being infected every day. Official reports say 254,000 people have died in India since the start of the pandemic, but the IHME estimates the true toll is more than 750,000—a number researchers predict will double by the end of August. Since the beginning of May, dozens of bodies have washed up on the banks of the river Ganges, with some villagers saying they were forced to leave the dead in the water amid soaring funeral costs and shortages of wood for cremation.

end partial quote from:

 https://time.com/6047957/india-covid-19-global-crisis-variant/

 If this is true that the number of infections is actually 8 million a day then the amount of deaths per day one month from now would be in actuality (if this were the U.S.)  at 1.7% per day of deaths would equal:

136,000 people dying in India every day (within one month from now) if this were the U.S.

However, this rate would be in the U.S. with a better health care system so the actual death count out in the country could actually be as high as 5% to 10% of 8 million per day.

5% of 8 million per day would be 400,000 deaths per day within one month from now (actual deaths in India)

10% of 8 million per day would be 800,000 deaths per day within one month from now (actual deaths)

So, we know that the actual deaths would be between 1.7% and 10% of 8 million a day somewhere in there given all present variables within one month from now.

The global rate of new infections is at 9.9 per 100,0000 people.

However, the rate in Nepal is 30.5 per 100,000 people.

In India it is now 27.7 per 100,000 people.

So, in this sense this is now a worldwide problem because of spread and variants worldwide now.

Because Nepal is about 3 times the world average now regarding infections. And India is pretty much the same just a little less.