Thursday, January 31, 2019

Storm Dumps Rain on Santa Barbara South Coast







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Storm Dumps Rain on Santa Barbara South Coast

Thunder and lightning wake up residents as first in series of storms moves through the region
 
Thunder and lightning woke up the South Coast Thursday and the National Weather Service said rain is expected to last through the late afternoon. 
“It’s definitely not over,” said Lisa Phillips, a meteorologist with the NWS Oxnard Office, around 9 a.m. 
Santa Barbara County rain gauges showed some South Coast mountain areas got more than 2 inches of rain by noon.
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Santa Maria had received 0.89 inches, Lompoc had 0.48 inches, Solvang had 0.94 inches, the Gaviota Coast had 1.81 inches, Goleta had 1.43 inches, Santa Barbara had 1.85 inches, Montecito had 1.92 inches, and Carpinteria had 1.71 inches. 
The Cold Spring debris basin above Montecito had 2.45 inches and San Marcos Pass recorded 2.13 inches.
The NWS issued a Flood Advisory for Santa Barbara County through 9:30 a.m., which was extended through 12:30 p.m.
Radar and rain gauges showed moderate to heavy rain with thunderstorms in the area, and rainfall rates up to 0.7 inches per hour could continue through the morning, according to the NWS. 
Police and fire personnel assisted some homeless people and their dog out of danger along Mission Creek in Santa BarbaraClick to view larger
Police and fire personnel assisted some homeless people and their dog out of danger along Mission Creek in Santa Barbara Thursday morning after an early morning storm dumped rain on the area. (Peter Hartmann / Noozhawk photo)
Some roadway flooding was reported Thursday morning and wet roads likely contributed to the high number of California Highway Patrol incidents, mostly non-injury spinouts and crashes, Thursday morning as well.
At 10:48 a.m., the California Highway Patrol reported that two inches of mud was flowing across Highway 101 in the Seacliff area south of Carpinteria.
Shortly before 7 a.m., Santa Barbara police and fire personnel assisted a homeless couple and their dog to safety after their encampment along Mission Creek was threatened by rising water, according to fire Battalion Chief Mike de Ponce.
No injuries were reported, and the couple were referred to the American Red Cross for assistance in finding lodging.
A big oak tree toppled onto a residence in Los Alamos around 8:15 a.m. but the residents weren’t home at the time, county fire spokesman Mike Eliason said.
Neighbors were evacuated from the 200 block of Shaw Street as a precaution since the tree was still settling, he said. 
Oak tree falls onto Los Alamos residence Thursday morning.Click to view larger
A large oak tree fell onto a Los Alamos house Thursday morning, but residents were not home at the time, according to the Santa Barbara County Fire Department.  (Tim Gailey / Santa Barbara County Fire Department photo)
Workers from the county’s Building and Safety Department were inspecting the structure to assess the damage and determine whether it was safe for residents to return, Eliason said.
Significant debris flows were not expected Thursday, but emergency management officials are monitoring a Friday night/Saturday storm and may issue evacuation warnings to some South Coast areas.
The stronger storm is expected to drop higher rainfall amounts, 1.5 inches to 3 inches, Phillips said.
“It looks like we’re going to have pretty good subtropical moisture, so we could get six to 12 hours of rain,” she said.
Strong winds are also expected Friday night into Saturday, with gusts up to 60 mph.
“So we’ve got some concerns with the additional rain and the strong winds,” she said. Higher mountain areas will get snow in that storm, she added.
Mission Creek flows below Cota Street in Santa Barbara.Click to view larger
Mission Creek flows below Cota Street in Santa Barbara. (Peter Hartmann / Noozhawk photo)
After Saturday’s storm, light to moderate showers are possible Sunday and Monday.
The NWS Flood Advisory advised drivers to avoid flooded roads and watch out for minor creek flooding. 
"The rain will likely trigger shallow mud and debris flows, minor rock falls, and flooding capable of localized damage, especially in steep terrain near burn scars," the advisory said.
Go to the ReadySBC.org page for county emergency information.
North County Editor Janene Scully contributed reporting to this story.
— Noozhawk managing editor Giana Magnoli can be reached at gmagnoli@noozhawk.com. Follow Noozhawk on Twitter: @noozhawk, @NoozhawkNewsand @NoozhawkBiz. Connect with Noozhawk on Facebook.

Polar Vortex shifts in the Winter are getting worse not better

When the Polar Vortex shifts south like it has been doing especially from about Minnesota over to Maine and down to Alabama and Florida and Mississippi people are dying more and more each year now. Trump likes to say, "What happened to Global Warming" but that's a really stupid uneducated comment because this is ONE OF MANY EFFECTS OF GLOBAL WARMING! When you have global warming you also destabilize (because of a melting arctic) the polar vortexes likely of both the North and South pole regions. It is going to be different because right now it's summer there in Antarctica. So, when you have a polar vortex shift on Australia or New Zealand or other places near there it also will be different because of the huge land mass which Antarctica is under the ice.

Whereas there is only water under the North Pole so the sun hitting up there is just going to allow no ice at all parts of the year at all in the arctic over time. The most likely time there will be no ice at all likely would be August to November most years in the arctic. By January like now ice has started forming again at least by December and January and likely will often most years for a long time.

However, this also has upset the weather patterns in extreme ways north of Canada and into and north of Alaska ongoing. So, as time goes on Polar vortexes coming south into the U.S. or England or Europe or Russia or Siberia might increase bringing weather colder than on top of Mt. Everest or at the north pole or south pole. So, many more people over the years are likely to die from this kind of thing in the future than now. So, there needs to be some way for people to better stay alive through this sort of thing. Older houses not properly insulated or heated are death traps now for the elderly or for people who are on fixed incomes or disability nationwide where the polar vortexes hit in winter.

This problem is only going to get worse likely for the next 20 to 50 years time. Then 115 degrees with 100% humidity in places like Chicago will set in and that will kill more people in the summers. That will come next after the polar vortexes peter out over time. So, whether it's polar vortexes in the winter or Hurricanes or droughts other times of year, many events are going to thin out the human race not only in the rest of the world but also in the U.S. It's just that you have to multiply the deaths by about 10 in other countries not as rich or as well prepared as the U.S. for calamities of all kinds.

People all over the world are dying now more than ever before from unexpected weather events and this can only increase with time now. So, if 12 are dying here then 120 are dying somewhere less wealthy from some weather event. It's a given.

Opinion: America's enemies are still rooting for Donald Trump


begin quote from:Opinion: America's enemies are still rooting for Donald Trump

America's enemies are still rooting for Donald Trump

Panetta: Job of intel community is to speak truth to power
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Panetta: Job of intel community is to speak truth to power 01:40
Nic Robertson is CNN's international diplomatic editor. The opinions in this article belong to the author.
(CNN)
When the United States' intelligence services speak, the world listens. Some out of fear, others welcoming the insight.
Never has that been truer than today.
    President Trump's lies, vacillations and inconsistencies have made him as much a predictor of the United States' enduring interests as a passing spring shower is likely to forecast tomorrow's weather.
    So when Director of National Intelligence Dan Coats, CIA Chief Gina Haspel, FBI boss Christopher Wray and other US intelligence heads were questioned by the Senate Intelligence Committee this week, America's allies paid close attention.
    What they heard will have encouraged them to ignore much of what Trump may say in the remaining years as president.
    Trump, for example, has been down on the EU, and up on Brexit; last summer advising Prime Minister Theresa May to sue the EU.
    In a headline-grabbing interview with the UK's Sun newspaper, Trump said: "I would have done it much differently," saying he would have gone in harder on the negotiations.
    Trump later refuted his criticism as "fake news."
    Coats' assessment of US interests over Brexit offers a substantially more nuanced view that flies in the face of Trump's go-in-tough comments.
    Madeleine Albright: Trump doesn't want to learn 01:45
    Coats told the Senate committee a no-deal Brexit remains a possibility and would "cause economic disruptions that would substantially weaken the UK and Europe. We anticipate that the evolving landscape in Europe will lead to additional challenges to US interests as Russia and China intensify their efforts to build influence there at the expense of the United States."
    Where Trump goaded May, Coats highlights the pitfalls to which Trump's tactics would lead.
    As Brexit teeters toward its divisive conclusion, the message received on this side of the Atlantic is a salutary one with implications lasting long beyond Trump's tenure.
    Get caught in Trump's hyperbole at your nation's peril.
    In his scathing attack on Coats and the other intelligence chiefs the following day, Trump tweeted: "the intelligence people seem to be extremely passive and naive when it comes to the dangers of Iran. They are wrong!"
    He took issue with them on North Korea and ISIS too, although not on Brexit.
    And therein lies the drama for any ally dealing with Trump: He blows hot one day and seems to lose interest the next.
    Comics mock Trump's jabs at his intel chiefs 01:15
    Brexit is coming down to the wire. It is getting ugly to the point it could damage the peace agreement in Northern Ireland that Trump's predecessor Bill Clinton was instrumental in securing. But it doesn't seem to be on Trump's radar despite the implications Coats says it has for US power.
    How much to trust Trump on any given day, and how much to ignore him over the longer term, seems an inescapable calculus facing many capitals.
    In Tehran, Trump's differences with Coats must be encouraging.
    While Coats said Iran continues to support terrorists and develop advanced missiles, it is not doing what Trump accuses it of doing -- breaking the terms of the 2015 international nuclear deal, the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action.
    Both he and Haspel said Iran was in compliance, with Coats saying: "I do not believe Iran is currently undertaking the key activities we judge necessary to produce a nuclear device." Haspel said: "at the moment technically they are in compliance but we do see them debating amongst themselves as they fail to realize the economic benefits they hoped for from the deal."
    On Thursday, Germany, France and the UK officially established a payment mechanism with Iran that dodges sanctions Trump has reimposed on Iran. It will be called INSTEX and will have the backing of the EU.
    If ever there were a case of America's allies listening to its intelligence chiefs rather than its commander in chief, this must be it.
    Trump's credibility with his allies seems spent; his enemies seem to have made the same judgment.
    Coats, again, much to Trump's annoyance, diverged from his boss' read of Kim Jong Un, the North Korean, nuclear-armed dictator.
    Trump, who met with Kim amid much hype in Singapore last summer, maintains the brutal leader is keeping his word to not develop more nuclear weapons.
    After meeting Kim last June, Trump tweeted: "No more nuclear testing or rockets flying all over the place." It's a line he has stuck to since to prove Kim's given up his nuclear ambitions.
    Coats disagrees, saying that while Pyongyang has halted its provocative behavior, "we currently assess that North Korea will seek to retain its WMD capabilities and is unlikely to completely give up its nuclear weapons and production capabilities because its leaders ultimately view nuclear weapons as critical to regime survival."
    Trump has been spun, and Kim isn't the only one doing it.
    China and Russia, both of whose leaders Trump likes to flatter, represent the biggest cyber threat to the US, according to the panel of intelligence chiefs.
    But it is perhaps ISIS, a potentially more immediate threat to the US, who could score the biggest win.
    The director of National Intelligence told the panel: "ISIS is intent on resurging and still commands thousands of fighters in Iraq and Syria."
    ISIS remnants in Syria need America's foot to come off the gas in that conflict. Trump recently set that in motion, declaring: "We've defeated ISIS. ISIS is defeated in all of the areas that we fought ISIS" and withdrawing US forces.
      Coats pointed out the danger of getting out too soon: "The group has returned to its guerrilla warfare roots while continuing to plot attacks and direct its supporters worldwide."
      Trump's intelligence chiefs have offered a rare moment of clarity that allies will relish; the country's enemies will no doubt keep rooting for Trump.