It could be said that Arab Spring began when a fruit and vegetable seller in Tunisia was prevented from supporting the 8 people he was supporting in his family and he set himself on fire and died in protest. Then it morphed through the various stages it has to get to where we are now.
However, the best that can be said for "Arab Spring" is that is transitioning the Middle East to something new and unheard of before. And so I'm not sure whether this is good or bad or both. However, it is extremely painful for the whole world to watch and horrific for those who actually have to live there.
The worst of it has taken place now in Syria and Iraq through ISIS. But, ISIS was not created out of thin air but came from Assad's reaction to Sunnis in Syria when they demanded more rights and were met with torture and death instead. Then Russia aligned with Iran decided that no matter what Assad was going to stay in power and so funded his staying in power against the wishes of the majority Sunni people in Syria. Then 200,000 or more Sunnis died from Assad, Russia, Iran and Hezbollah and voila! ISIS became the Sunni reaction to Assad, Russia, Iran and Hezbollah. So, Sunnis are on the move across the Middle East to avenge Syrian Sunnis.
But, here is where it all goes very wrong somehow.
Instead of just taking out Assad, (which Isis can't really do because of Iran and Russia supporting Assad) ISIS goes into business with Assad and even takes out contracts on Syrian Rebels who want to overthrow Assad in return for Oil wells and other funds and lands to support ISIS financially. So, Assad uses ISIS to further his own aims. Then Assad points to ISIS and says, "These are terrorists! The world must help me defend Syria against these ISIS Terrorists!" and the world listens and the U.S. is drawn into another unending war in the middle east. However, this is exactly what Iran, Russia, Assad and many others wanted the U.S. to do so the U.S. would be destroyed by putting out money to fight ISIS and become financially destroyed by doing this?
You might ask, "How would the world stabilize itself without the U.S.? doing this?"
Well, you see this is a trick by Iran, Russia, ISIS and Assad to financially end the U.S. (if you know what I mean).
The U.S. fell for this trick in order to stabilize the world and to keep it safe from ISIS.
But, this likely isn't possible to do for a variety of reasons. Sunni people's likely have had enough of Assad, Iran, and Russia at this point. So, if Russia doesn't just nuke the whole middle east out of existence completely at this point, Russia is really in for it from Sunnis (1.1 billion of them at this point) for the next 100 to 300 years because of what Russia has done to Sunni Muslims in Chechnya and Syria and Iraq at this point too.
This is not just a flash in the pan kind of problem. It likely is going to continue for hundreds of years at this point.
So, what can the U.S. do?
I'm not really sure that ending ISIS is possible because of Sunni anger towards Assad and Iran.
So, it is quite possible out the other end of this you will see all Shia and Sunni governments destroyed by ISIS in the end no matter what NATO or the U.S. does or Russia does (unless Russia decided to just nuke the whole Middle East out of existence one day) (which could actually happen when Sunni Extremist terrorists start bombing Moscow within the next 10 to 20 years at some point.
So, I don't think we are witnessing the end of something in the Middle East. I think it is just getting started and could get about 10 to 100 times worse over time for Europe, the U.S. , Canada and Russia over time.
Meanwhile, millions likely will be killed by all this in the Middle East who are mostly just innocent people trying to keep their families alive and survive however they can. And any of their children or relatives that survive this are going to be really angry and make today's terrorists look like pansies in comparison about 20 to 30 years from now.
Like I said before Assad, Iran and Russia made a very big mistake in trying to keep Assad in power and Iran, Syria and Russia will be paying for this in a variety of ways for centuries to come because "What goes around comes around". This is natural law that we have all seen for thousands of years of history already.
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