Saturday, June 13, 2020

Living with the real number which is around 300,000 American dead from Coronavirus so far

What?

You might say to me: "No. It's only around 117,000 so far, Fred!"

If you are speaking of tested deaths you are right but then you have to also add the non-tested deaths and from the Yale study you theoretically get this figure by first dividing 117,000 by 8000 and then multiplying by 15,000. Why?

Because the actual ratio between the tested is 8000 to 15,000. 8000 being the tested deaths and 15,000 being the non-tested coronavirus deaths. So, let's do this and see what it actually is:

if you divide 117,000 by 8000 you get 14.625
If you multiply this by 15,000 you get:219,375
 So then 219,375 is how many died who were not 
tested.

So, if I did this right then you add 219,375 to 117,000
However, I or the computer made a mistake because
the total should be less than 300,000 and if I add
117,000 to 219,375 then that result is over 300,000
and therefore it is incorrect. But, maybe you can figure
out the problem. anyway to say that 300,000 is a slight
overestimation of how many Americans have died is
correct.

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