Showing posts with label Partitioning Syria into two governments?. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Partitioning Syria into two governments?. Show all posts

Wednesday, January 22, 2014

Partitioning Syria into two governments and two areas?

I was watching PBS Newshour tonight and I finally felt like someone was suggesting something intelligent by suggesting that what might be accomplished at the peace talks is a partitioning of Syria, where the North and West (Including Aleppo) would be in the hands of a Sunni Rebel government and the South (including Damascus) would be in the hands of Assad and the Alawite Minority Government. Something like this happened during the Balkan War where partitioning of countries something like what happened in Bosnia and Serbia during the 1990s. This greatly reduced atrocities and humanitarian problems and tortures and deaths. However, then the Syrian Rebels would have to fight it out with Al Qaeda and other Islamists of the Sunni persuasion at least in Northern Syria.

However, this could be the outcome where Assad stays in power in a much smaller Syria in the south. It is logical because of what has happened in the past in previous proxy  war conflicts around the world especially during and just after the Cold War.

I don't really think it is realistic to push Assad out of Syria entirely because Iran and Russia aren't going to let that happen militarily. However, Iran and Russia might allow a partitioning of Syria as a marginally acceptable outcome as long as Assad stays in power in the Southern part of this partitioned area.

Though this isn't a perfect solution it might help the millions of displaced people around the world who lived in the Northern partitioned Area of Syria to return home to their previous lives (if they are Sunni Muslims). Like I said it isn't perfect but likely this might happen given all the variables on the ground there now.

 IF you want to read more about what happened during the 1990s in Bosnia, Serbia and Yugoslavia here are some facts from Wikipedia:
  1. Serbia in the Yugoslav Wars - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Serbia_in_the_Yugoslav_Wars‎
    Wikipedia
    Serbia was involved in the Yugoslav Wars in the period between 1991 and 1999 - the war in Slovenia, the war in Croatia, the war in Bosnia and the war in ...
  2. Bosnian War - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bosnian_War‎
    Wikipedia
    The war was characterized by bitter fighting, indiscriminate shelling of cities and towns, ethnic cleansing and systematic mass rape, mostly led by Serb and, to a ...
  3. Kosovo War - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kosovo_War‎
    Wikipedia
    230,000 Kosovo Serb, Romani and other non-Albanian civilians expelled. Albania .... 7.1 Serbian war crimes; 7.2 Albanian war crimes; 7.3 NATO war crimes.
  4. Yugoslav Wars - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yugoslav_Wars‎
    Wikipedia
    The wars were complex: characterized by bitter ethnic conflicts among the peoples of the former Yugoslavia, mostly between Serbs and Montenegrins on one ...
  5. The History Place - Genocide in the 20th Century: Bosnia ...

    www.historyplace.com/worldhistory/genocide/bosnia.htm‎
    During World War II, Yugoslavia was invaded by Nazi Germany and was ... A new leader arose by the late 1980s, a Serbian named Slobodan Milosevic, ...