Friday, February 14, 2014

Russian and Chinese positioning makes more Syrias worldwide more likely

Though most people don't want to call it "The Second Cold War" because of the nuclear consequences, realistically what is happening in Russia and China could easily be described as at the very least "A New Cold War against the World" which likely will erode democracies, especially the weaker ones around the world during the next 20 to 30 years.



I think people need to see that the "After World War II" dynamics are changing slowly now to something new and potentially more ominous in a slippery slope sense than the "After World War II" Cold War was. Though we have had relief from a Cold War since around 1990, we see something like it returning in the form of Russia's demand to keep Assad in Syria no matter the human cost.

To understand this we can see it by understanding the anger of the old Soviets (including Putin) in the new Russia. What was the main cause of the breakup of the Soviet Union? They might say the Sunnis in many of the states that they had to let go of. However, they fought the Chechen's and Dagestani's to keep those states intact since then as a part of Russia.

Likewise in China, we are seeing China fighting for fishing rights to take those rights away from Viet Nam, Japan, The Philippines etc. And likely we will see more of this in the future.

So, from both Russia and China I expect to see more Syria type of situations as more proxy wars are created by both China and Russia in the future 20 to 50 years.

So, what I'm saying is a de facto New Cold War from Russia and China has begun whatever you want to call it.

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