China in Trouble Long Term? There is a statement that is studied in War Colleges all over the world. "No army can succeed long term against an insurgency supported by the common people in any area of the world." What this actually means is that if the common people in any area support any guerrilla faction no army will be able to ever defeat that insurgency in 1year, 5 years, 10 years or ever.
It is my belief that in both Islamic areas of China and soon in Tibet this will be true. These struggles between the Islamics against the Chinese and the Tibetans against the Chinese cannot be won by China. Though China has almost infinite troops to send it does not have infinite money to fund those troops against multiple insurgencies.
Like the United States and NATO in Afghanistan and Iraq, unless the popular will of all the people in every area supports them they will not be able to hold the gained ground without the support of the common people of an area long term.
Yes. It is true that China COULD kill all Tibetans and all Islamics in China. But then one way or the other the whole world would find out and when it did it would become a complete pariah to the whole world and trade with China would eventually stop completely.
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