Tuesday, June 16, 2015

China's space program could completely crush its competition

 NASA was successful only because of the Cold War. When the Soviet Union Collapsed so did NASA and funding from Congress. Without that similar Cold War dynamic again, China is going to lead now into space along with Russia. This is just logical. We might not like it but it makes completely logical sense. Funding won't be there for NASA without some kind of new cold War that people are afraid of. However, it also appears it is just now beginning once again. Return of the Cold War that is. However, people aren't terrified yet of the new one because they are more oblivious than the Great Depression World War II generation was. You would need a Pearl Harbor kind of event with millions dying after that worldwide to wake people up fully in the U.S. and Europe. I don't want this to happen at all but NASA will never amount to anything now because Congress won't fund it enough to go anywhere unless something like this happened. Americans are asleep compared to where they were after World War II in the 1950s and 1960s. The 1950s and 1960s (the early 1960s) was very paranoid from World War II and the Great Depression. That's how I would describe most Americans after World War II and the Great Depression who were adults then: Paranoid.


China's space program could completely crush its competition


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(REUTERS) NASA isn't in serious trouble, but it has flat-lined. 
NASA's leadership in space exploration is what makes it one of the most inspiring and beloved agencies, but some feel that NASA has gotten stuck. It's budget isn't declining, but it's not growing either. And if we're not careful, other space programs are going to step up and fill the role of space exploration leader.
One up-and-coming contender is China. China's space program is showing the same kind of explosive growth as its economy, said Chris Impey, an astronomy professor at the University of Arizona, during an interview with NPR's Fresh Air host Terry Gross. That means it has grown roughly 10% a year for the past decade. While that amount is slipping a little and will likely slow down in the next few years, the bottom line is that China's space program is expanding, and NASA's is starting to flounder.

China makes its debut

It's easy to forget about China when it comes to space exploration. It didn't launch its first satellite until 1970, after the U.S. had already put several in orbit and even landed men on the moon. China didn't even send a taikonaut (China's word for astronaut) to space until 2003. And since the beginning of its space program, China benefited a great deal from Russian technologies, Impey wrote in his book "Beyond: Our Future in Space." For example, China use to buy old Russian rockets and reverse-engineer them.
That's all changing quickly though.
"But now the Chinese are innovating and vaulting ahead," Impey writes. "Their Long March rocket is original and has quickly eclipsed Russian rockets."
And innovation is one of the most important things China has going for it, Impey said.
"And they're actually — unlike the one of the stereotypes that they're just sort of copying our technology — they're actually innovating," Impey says during NPR's interview. "They have very young engineers in their space program — very keen, very well trained, very ambitious."
It's channeling that ambition into a laser-focused purpose: lunar exploration.




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(News.cn via Shanghaist) In 2013, China landed its Jade Rabbit rover on the moon. It was the first time anything human-built had touched the moon's surface in nearly 40 years. Since then, China has successfully tested several lunar orbiters and landers in hopes of sending humans to the moon, which it says it can accomplish by 2022. There's even rumor of a collaboration between China and Russia to set up a lunar base.
NASA is focused on Mars, and getting humans there by the 2030s. But many have said that a lunar strategy might prove the better choice for the US space agency in the long run.
"The real problem [in the US] is the lack of direction and commitment," Jeffrey Plescia told Space.com. "I think, like others, that the moon is key to understanding how to live and work in space and explore the solar system."
China is also building its own space station. Called the Tiangong 2 space lab, its first piece could be launched as soon as next year, followed by a manned crew to make contact with the lab. The main module of the lab will launch in 2018, and the whole thing could be finished as soon as 2022.
That's around the time the International Space Station, which NASA is intimately involved with (and China is not), is planned to be decommissioned, then allowed to fall to Earth and burn up. As of right now, there are no plans for a replacement.
Experts estimate that China spends about $2 billion on its space program every year. It's difficult to draw direct comparisons to NASA's roughly $18 billion budget because of currency conversion, but it's clear that even though they are investing heavily in space, China is still spending a much smaller amount of its overall budget on its space program than the US (the US spends about 0.5% of the total federal budget, while China spends an even smaller fraction).
The country's new launch facility on the island of Hainan is almost open for business.

A space conspiracy?

It's pretty clear US officials are wary of China's progress in space. NASA personnel are prohibited from working with the Chinese, and the Chinese can't visit any NASA building without explicit permission and a waiver. This is the same policy that has blocked China's involvement with the International Space Station.
The US's caution isn't entirely unfounded. China's space program is essentially run by the military. The People's Liberation Army has a huge influence over the program. The US military has also been involved with NASA, but not at the same level that China's military is.




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Soldiers of the Chinese People's Liberation Army stand on the deck before a fleet sets out for Aden, Yemen, from Zhoushan, Zhejiang province, April 3,...
(Thomson Reuters) Soldiers of Chinese People's Liberation Army stand on deck before the fleet sets out for Aden, Yemen from Zhoushan A US Department of Defense report suggests that China might be working on an anti-satellite weapon designed to jam U.S. navigation satellites. Some experts, including Paul Spudis, a senior staff scientist at the Planetary Institute, think that's why China is so interested in the moon.
"China's Chang'e 2 spacecraft moved in and out of lunar orbit, went to an L-point [a gravitationally stable Lagrange point], loitered there, left" and then it flew by an asteroid, Spudis told Space.com. "All of that activity is classic space control. If you combine these activities with their anti-satellite warfare experience, it's pretty clear what they are up to. I think that's their real agenda."
In other words, it looked a little like a military drill in space.
Still, not everyone thinks that's China's ultimate goal. Gregory Kulacki, senior analyst and China project manager for the Global Security Program at the Union of Concerned Scientists, said people have misunderstood China's intentions when they assume the nation is pursuing a space war strategy.
Kulacki told Space.com that "the strategic objective of Chinese space policy is not to exploit asymmetry between China and the United States, but to end it."
There's no way to know for sure right now. We'll be interested to see if China can stick to its aggressive lunar landing timeline though.


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