No Cheap Oil No Cheap Food. Though droughts are also a big factor as in the 100 year 2 year long drought in Australia, oil is the biggest factor that humans can actually do anything about.
The way things now stand, however, it is theoretically feasible at this point in time that up to 1/2 of the worlds populations could be gone within 30 years from starvation, and what I would call the potential for food and water wars worldwide. Squabbles are already starting worldwide now as people start to hoard food as individuals, families, areas and nations from each other. This will tend to start squabbles on larger levels.
I'm afraid the relative ease of feeding the world is over possibly permanently that we experienced the last 100 years of human history.
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