begin partial quote from: law of accelerating returns
In futures studies and the history of technology, accelerating change is the observed exponential nature of the rate of technological change in recent history, which may suggest faster and more profound change in the future and may or may not be accompanied by equally profound social and cultural change.
end partial quote.
I was thinking about how the world population reached 1 billion people in the early 1800s (after trying to get there for thousands of years. However, then withing 100 years we then had 2 billion people.
Were we more successful or could it be said the Human race was having so many children we were in danger of extinction?
In the last couple of years for example I researched this and found out without worldwide abortions the human race likely would have gone extinct by around 1960 or 1970.
We we would have gone extinct much earlier in the century like 1930s to 1950s without World War I and World war II as well.
So, there are many ways to think about this.
However, the next technological acceleration we are in the process of now is exponentially beyond anything the human race has experienced before now in human history.
So, it is much more unknown therefore who will survive this century and who will not.
However, I'm thinking that people who stay on top of all these changes might be the ones who actually survive all this better (at least at first). It is hard to predict anything much the rest of this century because the technological changes might happen so quickly that many people will not survive simply because they aren't studying what is happening in changes fast enough to develop a survival strategy.
(At least in the technologically advanced nations on earth).
For example, I don't think most people realize on earth yet that warfare has completely changed the last couple of years because of what has happened in Ukraine trying to not be taken over by Russia.
I was watching how people at home in Ukraine have 3d printers to print parts for drones and missiles to kill Russian Soldiers and how these (Civilians?) have communication with the front lines of soldiers using these drones and missiles regarding how to change the designs to become increasingly more efficient at killing Russian Soldiers and mercenaries in Ukraine now.
My wife thought that the figure of 30,000 or more Russian Soldiers and mercenaries being killed every month now couldn't be accurate but it turns out is is all true from various air and land drones capable of killing people day or night including fiber optic drones that cannot be jammed.
By getting real feedback from the front lines every single day systems are redesigned to some degree every day now which makes the techonological change something unbelievable in regard to human warfare.
It is to the point where no soldier is safe out in the open without a net of some kind over their heads even if they go out of their bunker to pee on a tree.
And this will continue for as long as Russia tries to occupy Ukraine and these technological advancements are being learned by Israel, and Iran and the U.S. too.
The point is here we are seeing such an exponential rate of technological change just in Ukraine and the middle east that armies without netting or without humvees or tanks will just be blown up and that's all she wrote wherever they are including American soldiers in Iran.
So, it would theoretically be possible that 30,000 American soldiers would die now from drones one way or another if they set foot on Iranian soil (at any point) in uniforms.
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