The Guardian (blog) | - |
Executive director Anthony Lake said: “As millions of children inside Syria
and across the region witness their past and their futures disappear
amidst the rubble and destruction of this prolonged conflict, the risk
of them becoming a lost generation ...
Syria crisis: Assad's army faces troop shortage - Tuesday 12 March 2013
• Syria's grand mufti calls for more recruits to the army
• MSF calls for UN to step in to end 'humanitarian paralysis'
• Germany and France split on arming Syrian rebels
• Read the latest summary
• MSF calls for UN to step in to end 'humanitarian paralysis'
• Germany and France split on arming Syrian rebels
• Read the latest summary
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Summary
Welcome to Middle East Live.
Here's a roundup of the latest developments:
• Around 40 Syrian soldiers are being killed each day, according to Jeffery White from the Washington Institute thinktank, who has just returned from a study tour of the region. He said he was given the figure by an analyst who had studied recent funeral data. "In his view the army was exhausting itself", White said. The government is now relying increasingly to auxiliary and irregular forces, White said. A report by a UN panel on Monday also claimed the Syrian government was increasingly turning to the armed militia groups.
• France urged the European Union to look again at lifting an arms embargo on Syria to help rebels, putting it at odds with Germany which said such a step could spread conflict in the region. French foreign minister Laurent Fabius said lifting the arms embargo would help level the playing field in the two-year-old conflict in which 70,000 people have died. But his German counterpart, Guido Westerwelle, said after a meeting of EU foreign ministers in Brussels that such a move could lead to a proliferation of weapons in the region and spark a proxy war.
• The number of Syrian refugees has increased by 10% within a week of topping 1 million. Figures from the UN's refugee agency said the number of Syrian registered as refugees or awaiting registration now stands at 1,100,579. On Sunday the UN warned that the number of refugees could hit 3 million this year.
• A Ukrainian journalist who had been threatened with execution by her rebel captors has escaped to safety, she told the Russia news agency RIA Novosti. It quoted Anhar Kochneva as saying:
• Turkey has blamed Syria's intelligence agencies and its army for involvement in a car bombing at a border crossing last month that killed 14 people and narrowly missed a delegation of Syrian opposition leaders, AP reports. Turkey's interior minister Muammer Guler said five people with links to Syria, had been arrested. "We have determined that they were in contact with the Syrian intelligence and army," he said.
• Human Rights Watch has urged the Saudi authorities to release and drop charges against the two leading human rights activists sentenced to long prison terms after a specialised criminal court convicted them on politically-motivated charges. Mohammed al-Qahtani and Abdulla al-Hamid, who founded the Saudi Civil and Political Rights Association, were sentenced solely for their peaceful advocacy of reform and criticism of human rights violations, the campaign group said.
Here's a roundup of the latest developments:
Syria
• Syria’s grand mufti, Sheik Ahmad Badr al-Deen Hassoun, a Sunni cleric closely linked to Bashar al-Assad, has called for more recruits to the Syrian army, the New York Times reports. It says the decree suggest Assad’s armed forces are in need of more recruits and may begin to strictly enforce compulsory service laws for the first time since the conflict began.• Around 40 Syrian soldiers are being killed each day, according to Jeffery White from the Washington Institute thinktank, who has just returned from a study tour of the region. He said he was given the figure by an analyst who had studied recent funeral data. "In his view the army was exhausting itself", White said. The government is now relying increasingly to auxiliary and irregular forces, White said. A report by a UN panel on Monday also claimed the Syrian government was increasingly turning to the armed militia groups.
• France urged the European Union to look again at lifting an arms embargo on Syria to help rebels, putting it at odds with Germany which said such a step could spread conflict in the region. French foreign minister Laurent Fabius said lifting the arms embargo would help level the playing field in the two-year-old conflict in which 70,000 people have died. But his German counterpart, Guido Westerwelle, said after a meeting of EU foreign ministers in Brussels that such a move could lead to a proliferation of weapons in the region and spark a proxy war.
• The number of Syrian refugees has increased by 10% within a week of topping 1 million. Figures from the UN's refugee agency said the number of Syrian registered as refugees or awaiting registration now stands at 1,100,579. On Sunday the UN warned that the number of refugees could hit 3 million this year.
• A Ukrainian journalist who had been threatened with execution by her rebel captors has escaped to safety, she told the Russia news agency RIA Novosti. It quoted Anhar Kochneva as saying:
I was a captive of the Free Syrian Army military council. At about 6am this morning I ran away from a Homs suburb. I was held in al-Bueida, a south Homs suburb; there is a lake there and this morning I was carried across that lake. I walked and walked, and the first person I met was the one I needed. It was bad. Their [the abductors’] living conditions are poor and my conditions were even worse. I will now have to undergo medical treatment for a long time and at great cost.• The US has condemned the killing of 48 Syrian troops in Iraq as an act of "terrorism" after al-Qaida claimed responsibility for the attack. State department spokeswoman Victoria Nuland insisted that the ambush was different from rebel attacks in Syria because it involved troops returning from medical treatment. Challenged on the apparent inconsistency of the US stance Nuland said: "Anytime you attack non-combatants in this way, and the techniques were obviously terrorist tactics, we’re going to call it what it it."
• Turkey has blamed Syria's intelligence agencies and its army for involvement in a car bombing at a border crossing last month that killed 14 people and narrowly missed a delegation of Syrian opposition leaders, AP reports. Turkey's interior minister Muammer Guler said five people with links to Syria, had been arrested. "We have determined that they were in contact with the Syrian intelligence and army," he said.
Saudi Arabia
• Saudi Arabia has authorised regional governors to approve executions by firing squad as an alternative to public beheading, because of a shortage of swordsmen. The authorities have executed 17 people so far this year, Amnesty International said this month, compared with 82 in 2011 and a similar number last year.• Human Rights Watch has urged the Saudi authorities to release and drop charges against the two leading human rights activists sentenced to long prison terms after a specialised criminal court convicted them on politically-motivated charges. Mohammed al-Qahtani and Abdulla al-Hamid, who founded the Saudi Civil and Political Rights Association, were sentenced solely for their peaceful advocacy of reform and criticism of human rights violations, the campaign group said.
Updated
Ukrainian journalist
Ukraine's foreign ministry has confirmed that journalist Anhar
Kochneva, who was kidnapped in Syria, is free after more than 150 days
in captivity.
Ministry spokesman Yevhen Perebiynis says the reporter is expected to contact the Ukrainian embassy in Damascus later on Tuesday.
Kochneva, who has written for Syrian and Russian newspapers, was kidnapped in western Syria on October and reportedly held by members of the Free Syrian Army opposition group. Perebiynis said he had no further information on her.
Kochneva announced her escape on brief blogpost, adds Miriam Elder in Moscow.
Ministry spokesman Yevhen Perebiynis says the reporter is expected to contact the Ukrainian embassy in Damascus later on Tuesday.
Kochneva, who has written for Syrian and Russian newspapers, was kidnapped in western Syria on October and reportedly held by members of the Free Syrian Army opposition group. Perebiynis said he had no further information on her.
Kochneva announced her escape on brief blogpost, adds Miriam Elder in Moscow.
“Your Alice has come back through the looking glass. More later," the post read.
She confirmed the escape in subsequent interviews with Russian media, claiming she fled a decrepit house and walked 15 =km before finding a Syrian army checkpoint.
Kochneva, who has worked for various outlets including the Kremlin-run television channel Russia Today, said she would stay in Syria, a country she called “a friend in need”.
“The world is just blind,” Kochneva told Business FM, a radio station. “I will do everything for the people to know what is really going on here.”
Kochneva claimed to have been kidnapped by members of the Free Syrian Army in October near Homs. Her captors initially demanded a $50m ransom and said they would kill her if it was not paid. They later lowered their demand to $300,000 and said no authorities had been in touch.
Updated
Shadow government
Britain and the US are holding up Syrian opposition plans to set up a
shadow government on Syrian soil, according to the Obama
administration's former head of Syria policy.
In his latest post for the Atlantic Council, Frederic Hof, who until last September was the state department's special representative on Syria, said British and US fears about repeating mistakes in Iraq were behind their reluctance to back the plan. He wrote:
In his latest post for the Atlantic Council, Frederic Hof, who until last September was the state department's special representative on Syria, said British and US fears about repeating mistakes in Iraq were behind their reluctance to back the plan. He wrote:
There is no reason why a provisional government, with strong support from the Friends of the Syrian People, could not establish itself as the legitimate Syrian government on liberated Syrian territory and still negotiate with a regime-designated team to establish a national unity government enjoying full executive powers over the entire country. No reason, that is, except for the reluctance of the United States and United Kingdom to see the opposition go down that path.
That reluctance is also understandable, though profoundly regrettable. British and American officials take the position that the establishment on Syrian soil of a government—especially one that would receive near-universal recognition as Syria's legal government—would produce two bad results: it would preclude the transition talks envisioned by the Geneva agreement; and it could cause Syria's existing ministries and government offices to collapse, pouring tens of thousands of unemployed officials onto an already moribund economy and perilous security situation. One can imagine a blunt Anglo-American warning to the opposition, one that would resonate in the ears of Syrians: "We don't want to create another Iraq."
Although it is understandable that continuity of government is a high priority for anyone wishing to minimize the possibility of a 2003 Iraq-like catastrophic meltdown, it is simply not true that the establishment of an alternate government on Syrian territory would either violate a principle worth preserving or cause a meltdown worth avoiding.
Such a government could (and should) make clear from the outset its readiness to negotiate the composition and program of a fully empowered transitional national unity government, and its intention to keep government employees (including security forces) on the payroll for whatever agreed period of time defines the word "transitional."
In short, there is no reason why a government, as opposed to an opposition, could not be the interlocutor with regime-designated negotiators in talks aimed at producing the peaceful, managed, and complete regime change transition agreed to by the five permanent members of the UN Security Council at Geneva last year. British and American reluctance on this score has less to do with who does the talking and the implications for continuity of government than it does with their own preparedness to take the next step on Syria.
Updated
Syria accuses UN panel of bias
Syria has dismissed a UN report that highlights increased bombardment of civilian areas by government forces as biased and misleading.
Monday's report by Paulo Pinheiro, chairman of the UN's commission of inquiry on Syria, said: "Indiscriminate and widespread shelling, the regular bombardment of cities, mass killing and the deliberate firing on civilian targets have come to characterise the daily lives of civilians in Syria."
Syria's ambassador to the UN's human rights council, Faisal al-Hamwi, accused Pinheiro's panel of deliberating ignoring evidence presented by the Syrian government.
Reuters quoted him saying: "There is a conspiracy against Syria. Qatar has financed and armed tens of thousands of mercenaries from 30 countries. Turkey has provided the military bases and sent them into Syria on their jihad."
Monday's report by Paulo Pinheiro, chairman of the UN's commission of inquiry on Syria, said: "Indiscriminate and widespread shelling, the regular bombardment of cities, mass killing and the deliberate firing on civilian targets have come to characterise the daily lives of civilians in Syria."
Syria's ambassador to the UN's human rights council, Faisal al-Hamwi, accused Pinheiro's panel of deliberating ignoring evidence presented by the Syrian government.
Reuters quoted him saying: "There is a conspiracy against Syria. Qatar has financed and armed tens of thousands of mercenaries from 30 countries. Turkey has provided the military bases and sent them into Syria on their jihad."
Updated
Humanitarian crisis
The UN should step in to break a “humanitarian paralysis” that is
preventing virtually any aid reaching millions of people who desperately
need help in Syria, according to the head of the leading aid agency Médecins Sans Frontières.
Christopher Stokes, MSF’s general director, said the system of aid delivery should change to allow cross border aid deliveries from neighbouring countries.
As it stands “extremely little assistance” is reaching rebel control areas despite dire needs, Stokes warned in an interview with the Guardian.
This isn't a war that can be won by Assad under any circumstances. This war might be won by Russian and Iran working together to completely level Syria like they have been doing. But I wouldn't consider that really a victory for anyone. It makes sense that Syrians seeing that they are only destroying the country they love would disappear into their surroundings and be gone. This is not a war that Assad can win. It might be at this point the only ones who can win this war is Al Qaeda and the Islamists. And that is really sad and pathetic but also might be true. Even Hezbollah whose army is bigger than the Army of the government of Lebanon cannot win this war against the Sunni Muslims of the Middle East and all their friends from around the world.
Syria has become a place only for fighters on both sides. It likely is true that families who wish to survive are mostly leaving Syria if they can afford to. Because it looks like there won't be enough humanitarian aid not to starve to death in many areas. And in many if not most areas without humanitarian aid families cannot survive very long if at all.
Christopher Stokes, MSF’s general director, said the system of aid delivery should change to allow cross border aid deliveries from neighbouring countries.
As it stands “extremely little assistance” is reaching rebel control areas despite dire needs, Stokes warned in an interview with the Guardian.
The system has to change. MSF is asking the UN to open up humanitarian operations cross border from neighbouring countries, for example from Lebanon and Turkey, into opposition areas without the authorisation of the government.end quote from:
It requires a much wider political commitment, probably from the security council, to allow cross border operations without the authorization of the Syrian government. But without that we are going to continue to have very little humanitarian assistance going into the country, and practically none in opposition areas.
I find it astounding that two years into the conflict everyone seems to be accepting the fact that there is very little humanitarian assistance going in. In the absence of a political solution we shouldn’t have this humanitarian paralysis.
Syria crisis: Assad's army faces troop shortage - Tuesday 12 March 2013
This isn't a war that can be won by Assad under any circumstances. This war might be won by Russian and Iran working together to completely level Syria like they have been doing. But I wouldn't consider that really a victory for anyone. It makes sense that Syrians seeing that they are only destroying the country they love would disappear into their surroundings and be gone. This is not a war that Assad can win. It might be at this point the only ones who can win this war is Al Qaeda and the Islamists. And that is really sad and pathetic but also might be true. Even Hezbollah whose army is bigger than the Army of the government of Lebanon cannot win this war against the Sunni Muslims of the Middle East and all their friends from around the world.
Syria has become a place only for fighters on both sides. It likely is true that families who wish to survive are mostly leaving Syria if they can afford to. Because it looks like there won't be enough humanitarian aid not to starve to death in many areas. And in many if not most areas without humanitarian aid families cannot survive very long if at all.
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