California braces for 'once-in-10-year' storm amid fears of flooding, avalanches and blizzards
I think if there is panic it is because it might be a repeat of the 1862 floods that bankrupted California, moved the Capitol for 6 months or more to San Francisco by boat and killed 1/4 of the cattle in California and changed it to a farming state by bankrupting so many cattle ranchers then.
Then like now it was atmospheric rivers. Also, this historically happens every 100 to 300 years for thousands of years and is likely the main reason no big cities were in California when the Spanairds and later the Americans arrived for the California Gold Rush in 1848 because they would have been washed away every 100 to 300 years if they were in a river or lake flood plain in California. in 1862 the Sacramento River was 20 miles wide for a long time and Sacramento, the capitol of California was under water for 6 months or more. I'm glad I live on a hill and not in a flood plain in Northern California. My neighbors are sandbagging right now for what is coming, especially if they live on roads on a slope that will become a stream or a river with enough rain. California is one of the few places in the U.S. that can rain 16 inches in a few days. However, what is scary about this is we have elevations from over 14,000 feet to sea level which is where water heads, no matter how much there is of it.
I think the next Great Flood to hit California (if we are in the same kind of weather pattern now with Global Warming) people will rebuild cities on higher places. San Francisco will be okay in a flood because it is all hills where water will just gush down the streets to the ocean mostly. But, places in Flood plains like Sacramento, Stockton, Red Bluff, and possibly even Redding might have more problems. Any place near a river or lake flood plain is likely going to be flooded at some point in the state except for hills and mountains and even then if you are too near rivers and streams this could also be a problem because of runoff.
So, though we won't disappear from Global Warming in California completely like Florida and many East Coast cities will like New York, Boston, New Orleans, all or most of Florida, California will have to rebuild cities washed away at higher more stable elevations once whole populations are either washed away, flown out by helicopter or whatever it takes to save as many people as possible. I'm not saying this is happening for sure now, however, if weather patterns are at all similar to what they have been the last 5000 or 10,000 years we do have to expect an 1862 type of flooding or worse every 100 to 300 years at the very least. Having a home 2 stories high might be a life saver if you are in a flood plain of any kind in an 1862 type of flood. Also have a boat or kayak or raft or something might save your life too if this kind of flooding actually happens sometime in the next 100 to 300 years. However, if you subtract 1862 from 2016 you already have 154 years since the last one. So, we likely should expect one within 50 to 100 years most likely if the weather patterns emulate what they have been for the last 5000 to 10,000 years already.
One similar anomaly to now, there was a drought that lasted about 20 years before the last Great Flood in 1862.
Jan 1, 2013 ... Such floods are likely caused by atmospheric rivers: narrow bands of ... A January 15, 1862, report from the Nelson Point Correspondence ...
1 day ago ... Northern California braces for once-in-a-decade deluge of snow ... 'State of panic' grips Northern California as atmospheric river .... “It's the strongest storm we've seen in a long time, the kind of setup we look for to get significant flooding.” ... This weekend's storm could bring 36 straight hours of heavy rain ...
California braces for 'once-in-10-year' storm amid fears of flooding, avalanches and blizzards. Los Angeles Times · 05 Jan 2017 at 23:25 ET. The Half Dome at the Yosemite National Park in California is pictured on July 9, 2014 (AFP ...
12 hours ago ... LA Times January 6, 2017. California was bracing for an epic series of storms this weekend that could bring flooding, avalanches, blizzards and ...
Public agencies across Northern California are bracing
for a weekend of epic rain and snow after meeting with hydrologists
from the National Weather Service who warned them that the incoming atmospheric river packs a punch not seen in at least a decade.
“People
are definitely in a state of panic right now,” said El Dorado County
sheriff’s Sgt. Todd Hammitt. “We’re getting a lot of calls asking if
we’re going to be able to deal with everything. It’s the general
pandemonium of not knowing what’s coming.”
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Up to 12 inches of rain is expected below 8,500 feet, and
massive amounts of snow — up to 6 feet — above that elevation across the
Sierra Nevada. A colder storm two days behind will drop yet more heavy
snow. On Friday night, scattered rain was falling in parts of the Bay
Area as the first band of the storm began to move in.
“We’re
expecting heavy, heavy rain. It starts out as snow then turns to rain
then turns to snow again,” Hammitt said. “We’re concerned about the melt
increasing waterways and all the lakes.”
Hammitt recalled storms in 1997 and
2005 when runoff overwhelmed local rivers and creeks and sent water into
roads and homes, lifting some buildings off their foundations.
“We
have streams, creeks, rivers. We have lakes and ponds,” Hammitt said.
“Anybody near a water source could be in jeopardy depending on the
severity of the storm.
Two sinkholes have already emerged
on county roads as a result of three stormy days this week. County
residents have already filled 12,000 sandbags in preparation for the
storm and an additional 20,000 are on the way in, Hammitt said.
“Anytime it’s Mother Nature, you have to be ready,” Hammitt said.
The region is expected to be hit Saturday, Sunday, Tuesday and Wednesday.
“It’s
a once-in-10-year event,” said Zach Tolby, a meteorologist with the
National Weather Service in Reno. “It’s the strongest storm we’ve seen
in a long time, the kind of setup we look for to get significant
flooding.”
Indeed, large swaths of the Bay Area, Sierra
foothills, Central Coast and parts of the Sacramento Valley were under
flash flood warnings. The flood concerns have been heightened because
officials fear that some of the snowfall will quickly melt due to heavy
rain.
The atmospheric river, or “Pineapple Express,” will
be felt across much of the state this weekend, though rain will be much
heavier in the north than in the south.
“It’s going to be like buckets of water for a fairly sustained period of time,” Tolby said.
Wind
gusts on mountain tops could top 130 mph in the Northern Sierra, which
is typical, Tolby said. At lower elevations gusts could reach 30 or 40
mph, he said, “but that’s an average windy day for us.”
Tolby
said the storm is packing the same wallop as an atmospheric river that
hit Northern California a decade ago that caused $300 million in damage,
according to the U.S. Geological Survey.
Angelenos may remember the 2005-06 storm because
it was the first time it rained on the Rose Parade in 51 years. But
Tolby, who lives in Lake Tahoe, remembers the storm differently.
“It
was pretty wild. I was here in 2005 and it was definitely the hardest
rain I’d ever seen. It didn’t stop for 24 hours,” he said.
This weekend’s storm could bring 36 straight hours of heavy rain from Mammoth Mountain to Susanville, Tolby said.
Below
clear blue skies Friday, people in the snow-shrouded ski town of
Mammoth Lakes were gleeful about the prospect of several more feet of
snow.
Yet some also worried that the big, wet storm could dump so much rain and snow that it could shut down some ski runs or roads.
In
preparation, snowplows were scraping icy roadways. Excavators and
snowblower operators stayed busy clearing and moving huge piles of snow.
Some cars sat abandoned on the roadside or at gas stations, covered
with thick blankets of snow from the most recent storm.
Outside
Kittredge Sports, store manager Terry Lucian took advantage of the
clear weather to shovel away some of the mounds of snow that had built
up outside the entrance.
“If the storm comes in as wet as
they’re talking about, it’ll make for a big mess,” the 60-year-old said
as he scooped icy snow off the entrance to the A-frame building.
Lucian
said recent storms definitely helped to boost business, but he
worried some skiers traveling to the area this weekend could be in for
disappointment if storm conditions worsen to the point that they shut
down parts of Mammoth Mountain.
“Everybody wants the
snow, they just don’t want it while they’re here,” the 39-year Mammoth
resident said. “It’ll be a rough couple of days, but we need the water.
So it’s going to be OK.”
Up north, South Lake Tahoe Mayor Austin Sass urged residents to prepare for the storm.
“If
at all possible, get up on your roof and get off whatever snow you have
on there because the moisture combined with the snow will be extremely
heavy and we’re worried about the integrity of your roof structure,”
Sass tweeted Friday.
Do not go outside Sunday or Monday, he told his constituents.
“When
the snow comes mixed with the rain it’s going to be an absolute mess.
So whatever you can do stay home and most importantly, stay safe,” he
said.
In
the mountains, the rain could pile onto the snow and trigger early
snowmelt, feeding extra water into watersheds already swollen from a
week of rain.
“A combination of intense rain on saturated
soils will lead to excessive runoff,” the National Weather Service said
in its weekend forecast.
The
Carson, Truckee and Susan rivers are all expected to become
overwhelmed, and the nearby communities may become increasingly isolated
if the deluge triggers mud flows and rock slides.
Weather
officials issued a flood watch from Saturday to Wednesday that covers
much of Northern California and extends down through the Sierra to
Tehachapi.
In Mono County, authorities offered sandbags to residents in preparation for the rain. In Yosemite National Park,
officials announced Friday that the park will remain open through the
wet weekend, but access to popular Yosemite Valley will be closed.
The town of Colfax in the Sierra Nevada, known as the turnaround town, is ready.
"It's
something we prepare for — it goes with the snow, hand in hand," said
Wes Heathcock, community services director for the tiny Placer County
town, which has perhaps one of the most used Interstate 80 on/off ramps
in Northern California when it is a snow day.
When snow conditions become too treacherous, the California Highway Patrol
typically closes Interstate 80 at Colfax, as it did Wednesday during a
snowstorm that also brought a car-semi collision. Perched at an
elevation of 2,400 feet, Colfax bills itself as "above the fog, below
the snow."
The options for stranded travelers are slim in
the Old West railroad town, whose most famous mention is a passing
reference in Jules Verne's “Around the World in 80 Days.” Even Phileas
Fogg did not stop.
There is a Starbucks and a single motel.
"They're
welcome to spend some tax money in Colfax, but generally you'll see
they'll trickle back down, try to locate hotels a little closer to the
[Sacramento] Valley," Heathcock said.
Colfax gears
up for the die-hards, travelers who believe the solution to
snow-blocked passes is to find another route to the same location.
"We all have this wonderful tool called GPS now," Heathcock said.
From
Colfax, California Highway 174 makes a long northerly loop to the
narrow, hairpin turns of Highway 20, eventually depositing drivers into
the thick. They hit Interstate 80 at Yuba Pass, just before Donner
Summit.
During Wednesday's storm, the city's public works
crew joined the sheriff and the CHP to stand along that road and
ward off drivers seeking the bypass.
Wednesday's storm
dropped up to 2 feet of snow in less than 24 hours in the Tahoe basin,
at times coming down at more than 2 inches an hour.
The
Sierra Avalanche Center reported a slight improvement in backcountry
conditions. The risk of avalanche was lowered to "considerable" even as
the threat increased of historically large avalanches caused by slabs of
snowpack as thick as 8 feet above a weak layer of ice laid down by a
mid-December rain.
Near Lake Tahoe on Thursday, two
skiers were caught in an avalanche that closed a local highway. But they
were not injured, officials said.
Sierra residents are
preparing for a third onslaught over the weekend, bringing up to 12
inches of rain below 8,500 feet, and more snow above that. A fourth
storm system is forecast to roll across Northern California two days
after that.
After the weekend storm, another rain-making system is expected to hit Northern California on Tuesday.
The storm moving through Southern California was significantly smaller than the one in the north. But it still caused problems.
Rain-slicked
roads were clogged with commuters after a big rig jackknifed on the
eastbound 60 Freeway in East Los Angeles, forcing authorities to shut
down five lanes. In Burbank, several lanes were blocked after a
semi-truck jackknifed across north and southbound lanes of the 5
Freeway.
By midmorning, firefighters rescued a man who
was stranded on an island of branches and brush in the rain-swollen Los
Angeles River near Fletcher Drive in Silver Lake, said Brian Humphrey, a
spokesman for the Los Angeles Fire Department.
Though
the rain subsided Thursday afternoon, the problems kept coming. Crews
were forced to temporarily close the northbound 710 Freeway north of the
5 Freeway to replace concrete slabs damaged by the weather, the CHP
said. Traffic backed up for seven miles, and the closure lasted more
than four hours.
For all the problems the storms may
cause, it will bring more good news for California’s six-year drought.
Officials have said steady rain in Northern California the last few
months has filled reservoirs and increased the once-anemic snowpack.
They emphasize the storms won’t end the drought. But if the rains keep up for spring, they could make a major dent.
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