A good night for Putin and those damn emails
Trump praises Putin during forum 02:53
Story highlights
- Aaron David Miller: NBC candidate forum documented the gulf in competence and understanding between Clinton, Trump
- Trump's admiration for Putin and his disdain for US generals was notable, he says
Aaron David Miller is a vice president and distinguished scholar at the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars and author of "The End of Greatness: Why America Can't Have (and Doesn't Want) Another Great President." Miller was a Middle East negotiator in Democratic and Republican administrations. Follow him on Twitter @aarondmiller2. The opinions expressed in this commentary are his.
(CNN)In
the cruel and unforgiving foreign policy world of migraine headaches
the next President is almost certain to inherit, which candidate would
be better equipped to lead the nation?
And
what did Wednesday night's battle of the would-be commander in chiefs
tell us about their views on national security issues that we didn't
already know? Here are some key takeaways.
Same old, same old
Sure,
time was short and it's hard to do justice to complex foreign policy
issues in a rushed half hour per candidate format. Understandably most
of the questions were focused on issues relating to veterans. But it's
striking how many serious foreign policy issues weren't covered. Indeed,
instead of asking tough questions on China, nuclear weapons, under what
conditions would a candidate use force, NBC chose to play off the same
thoroughly politicized and well-worn themes: support for the Iraq war
and Clinton's emails. There was very little that was productive or new.
Those damn emails
Inevitably, the Clinton email issue was going to surface, particularly
in a military audience familiar with classified material and the
vigorous enforcement of the rules to protect it. Clinton admitted her
mistakes in handling her emails, but her answers were lawyerly and
technical and not the best way for her to have to open her segment.
Indeed, the email issue in the forum was to some extent moderated by the
fact that the two candidates weren't on the stage together and the
discussion was courteous and relatively brief. That will definitely not
be the case during the presidential debates.
Stealth policy on ISIS
Predictably,
when asked about how he'd deal with ISIS, Donald Trump fell back on his
new tack: That he'd ask the generals to develop a plan within 30 days
about how to defeat and destroy ISIS. This formulation, accompanied by
his traditional refrain that he wasn't going to telegraph his moves,
contrasted sharply and negatively with Clinton's rather conventional but
still comprehensive approach to fighting ISIS from the air, on the
ground (though not with US combat forces), and in cyberspace. Indeed,
when pressed by a vet to explain what he'd do after defeating ISIS, in
the proverbial day after, Trump raised again the fantastical notion of
seizing the Iraqi oil and leaving people behind to secure it.
Insulting the generals/Hurrah for Putin
For
someone who prides himself on being pro-military, Trump did a number on
the senior military command, at least those who served under Barack
Obama. There was progression in his views in that he refrained from
repeating his notion that he knows more about ISIS than the generals and
that he would ask them to develop a plan. But his battering of the
career military and his statement that those who worked on these issues
in the Obama administration had been "reduced to rubble" was hardly the
kind of sentiment that a commander in chief wants to engender in the
military. Indeed, it's stunning to consider that Trump seemed more
deferential and solicitous to Vladimir Putin (saying the Russian
President has an 82% approval rating and that he's been a leader far
more than our President) than he was prepared to be to President Obama.
Temperament/experience
Here
is where the biggest gap appeared between the two candidates. It's not
that Clinton was compelling or particularly charismatic. When asked what
quality was most important to foreign policy leadership, Clinton
replied that it was steadiness married to strength -- a compact response
that seemed sensible and appropriate, particularly when compared to
what Trump said. Asked by NBC's Matt Lauer what prepared him to make
leadership decisions, Trump fell back on responses about building a
great company, traveling around the world, dealing with China and having
great judgment: "I called the shots." On balance, Clinton acted and
sounded more serious and more presidential.
This
was not a great night for either candidate. On substance very little
was said that we haven't heard before with regard to policies. What the
night demonstrated clearly, though, is that Trump is not comfortable
with the substance of foreign policy issues, nor is he able to engage in
detailed or even general conceptions of how to formulate policies.
What
works so well in large and controlled rallies for Trump --
generalities and slogans -- doesn't work nearly as well in close-quarter
verbal combat. Under the supervision of a fair and probing moderator
and in direct exchanges between the candidates -- at least on foreign
policy -- this may prove to be a real liability. At the same time,
during a one on one face off with Trump, Clinton's emails may prove the
same.


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