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The problem is actually much worse than is mentioned in this article. It has been predicted by a German Think tank that by 2025 Solar will be more cost effective than oil literally (EVERYWHERE On Earth). In other words if oil doesn't spike up within the next 5 to 7 years it never will ever again.
At least not like it has the last 100 years or so.
So, during the next 10 years we are witnessing the end of oil being cost effective anywhere.
begin quote from:
The world's largest oil driller just gave a very bearish presentation on the future of the industry
The
world's largest oil driller is expecting the industry to worsen in the
second half of the year. Oil prices, even after a rebound in recent
weeks, are still down 61% from the pre-crash peak in June 2014. The
major difference in the current industry situation is that we are
unlikely to see oil prices returning to the $100 level because this
downturn is not driven by lower demand or by external factors.
Business Insider
Business
(Andrew Burton/Getty Images) The world's largest oil driller is expecting the industry to worsen in the second half of the year. The world's largest oil driller just gave a very bearish presentation on the future of the industry
Akin Oyedele,Business Insider 16 hours agoSchlumberger CEO Paal Kibsgaard gave a presentation at an industry conference Monday, and much of his outlook was very bearish.
He started with the fact that the oil industry is in "the deepest financial crisis on record" that is making it impossible for most oil and gas operators to stay profitable.
And Kibsgaard sees no meaningful improvement in drilling activity until 2017.
Oil prices, even after a rebound in recent weeks, are still down 61% from the pre-crash peak in June 2014.
Here's a highlight of what he said about the future of the industry (emphasis added):
This
‘hold-your-breath and-hope-for better-times-soon’ playbook has in the
past allowed the industry to live through shorter-term demand downturns
while waiting for business to return to normal. The major
difference in the current industry situation is that we are unlikely to
see oil prices returning to the $100 level because this downturn is not
driven by lower demand or by external factors. It is instead an
immediate result of OPEC’s decision to protect market share rather than
oil price which clearly demonstrates that they still have a firm grip on
the global E&P industry.
This
shift is likely to have deep and long-term consequences for the
industry similar to how limited access to reserves in the 1990s drove
international and independent oil companies to pursue unconventional and
deepwater resources.
Kibsgaard said the industry is now in the third and worst phase of this crisis:
The
current downturn has now persisted for 17 months since the US land rig
count peaked in October of 2014. Using this rig count as a proxy, we
have seen three distinct phases as the downturn has deepened. The third
and most severe phase is taking place within this current quarter with
the global activity impact and rate of disruption reaching unprecedented
levels, showing an industry in a full-scale cash crisis.
(Schlumberger) Kibsgaard
also challenged the idea that the oil crash has forced oil-service
companies to be more efficient, thereby lowering their costs amid a cash
crunch. He said that rather, service companies have had to make
concessions to lower costs to attract the few clients left as drilling
activity died down. And he thinks that when drilling picks up again, these cost-saving benefits will be reversed.
Kibsgaard said if non-OPEC production continues to fall, and demand rises — as the International Energy Agency is projecting for this year — oil prices should continue to rally.
Schlumberger now expects first-quarter sales to total $6.5 billion, missing analysts' forecast for $7 billion. Its shares were little changed in early trading.
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