People thought that it wouldn't happen until 2017 but this year the social security payouts are expected to exceed what workers pay in in 2009.
http://news.yahoo.com/s/time/20090410/us_time/08599189054200
Begin Quote from above webpage:
Thanks to the worst economic downturn since the 1930s, the moment of reckoning is already almost here: according to both the budget proposed by the White House in February and projections issued by the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) in March, Social Security benefits ($659 billion, according to the CBO) will exceed payroll taxes ($653 billion) in fiscal 2009 for the first time since 1984. Payroll-tax receipts generally hold up much better in recessions than do income taxes, but job losses have been so severe that the CBO expects them to decline slightly from 2008, while benefits rise almost 9% because of cost-of-living adjustments and the beginnings of the baby-boomer retirement wave. (See five reasons for economic optimism.)
If you count the $17 billion in income taxes expected to be paid on Social Security benefits, the system will still manage to provide a slight surplus for federal coffers in fiscal 2009. But from 2010 through 2012, there are small projected deficits, and after heading back into the black from 2013 to 2015, the program will then become a growing drain on federal finances, projects the CBO. end quote.
So, the dreaded year is this year even though Social Security is still supposed to be able(if all goes well) to pay for itself again by 2013 until 2015 when it goes into the red again(probably permanently).
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