The most likely months to lose people in California Mudflows: January through March

Of course it depends upon the rain patterns combined with the fire patterns that year. But, generally speaking this is the case like it was last January in Montecito.

When fires come up against rain this is the worst. Luckily, we dodged the bullet so far in Paradise and in Redding and so far in the Woolsey fire area as well (AS WELL AS OTHER AREAS LIKE NEAR CLEAR LAKE AND OTHERS). Luckily we haven't had so much rain after a fire to destroy more homes and people than were already destroyed through fires. But, that is no guarantee for January to March if rains keep saturating the soils to liquifaction levels between now and then.